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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu

Fenerbahce

T S S U U

2–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

8 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 9. · Karagumruk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Galatasaray	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Hatayspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Erzurumspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+4	6
8	Kayserispor	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Fenerbahce	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Trabzonspor	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Besiktas	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Kasimpasa	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Gaziantep	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Rizespor	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Genclerbirligi	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Denizlispor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
21	Buyuksehyr	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Antalyaspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Hatayspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Konyaspor	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Kasimpasa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Gaziantep	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Denizlispor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Genclerbirligi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Erzurumspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Buyuksehyr	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Erzurumspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Karagumruk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ankaragücü	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Genclerbirligi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Denizlispor	2	0	0	2	-5	0
21	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.