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Süper Lig

Referee: Fırat Aydınus

Karagumruk

U S T U T

5–1

Full-time

Erzurumspor

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Erzurumspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

80%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Süper Lig · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

80%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 4. · Erzurumspor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Fenerbahce	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Galatasaray	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Karagumruk	6	2	2	2	+2	8
5	Rizespor	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Kasimpasa	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Antalyaspor	6	2	2	2	-2	8
8	Yeni Malatyaspor	6	2	2	2	-3	8
9	Goztep	6	1	4	1	+3	7
10	Erzurumspor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Besiktas	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Gaziantep	6	1	4	1	-1	7
14	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	-1	7
15	Hatayspor	4	2	1	1	-3	7
16	Konyaspor	5	1	3	1	+2	6
17	Kayserispor	5	2	0	3	-4	6
18	Trabzonspor	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Denizlispor	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-3	4
21	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Karagumruk	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Kasimpasa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Hatayspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Gaziantep	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Galatasaray	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Denizlispor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Genclerbirligi	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Besiktas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Erzurumspor	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Sivasspor	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sivasspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Erzurumspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Besiktas	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Goztep	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Denizlispor	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Gaziantep	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Trabzonspor	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Karagumruk	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
21	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.