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Super League

Referee: B Nijhuis

Aris Thessalonikis

S S T S U

1–0

Full-time

PAOK

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

This season — Super League · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 67%

70%

64%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

36%

Both score Ø 43%

40%

45%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

5 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 4. · PAOK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	10	1	0	+25	31
2	Aris	11	8	2	1	+10	26
3	PAOK	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Aris Thessalonikis	10	7	2	1	+9	23
5	AEK	10	7	1	2	+10	22
6	Panathinaikos	13	5	3	5	+2	18
7	OFI Crete	12	4	3	5	-3	15
8	Volos NFC	13	3	6	4	-4	15
9	Atromitos	12	3	6	3	-4	15
10	Giannina	13	3	4	6	-2	13
11	Asteras Tripolis	12	3	4	5	-4	13
12	Apollon	12	2	3	7	-6	9
13	Panetolikos	13	1	5	7	-10	8
14	Larisa	12	1	3	8	-14	6
15	Lamia	11	0	2	9	-21	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	PAOK	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Aris	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	AEK	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Aris Thessalonikis	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Panathinaikos	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Atromitos	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Asteras Tripolis	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	OFI Crete	6	1	3	2	-3	6
10	Volos NFC	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Giannina	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Apollon	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Panetolikos	6	1	1	4	-5	4
14	Larisa	6	0	2	4	-9	2
15	Lamia	7	0	2	5	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Aris Thessalonikis	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Aris	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	AEK	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	PAOK	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Volos NFC	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	OFI Crete	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Panathinaikos	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Giannina	8	2	2	4	-2	8
10	Atromitos	5	1	3	1	-3	6
11	Apollon	7	1	2	4	-3	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	7	1	2	4	-5	5
13	Larisa	6	1	1	4	-5	4
14	Panetolikos	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Lamia	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.