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Super League

Referee: A Papapetrou

Aris Thessalonikis

U U T S U

4–2

Full-time

PAOK

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Super League · 16/18 matches

Win Ø 49%

31%

67%

Points per game

1,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

63%

61%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%

5 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 10. · PAOK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	12	5	0	+27	41
2	PAOK	18	12	5	1	+20	41
3	AEK	17	8	5	4	+8	29
4	OFI Crete	19	8	3	8	+7	27
5	Aris	17	6	7	4	+9	25
6	Larisa	17	7	4	6	+0	25
7	Volos NFC	19	7	3	9	-14	24
8	Atromitos	18	6	5	7	-1	23
9	Panathinaikos	18	5	8	5	-6	23
10	Aris Thessalonikis	16	5	7	4	+7	22
11	Lamia	17	4	8	5	-6	20
12	Xanthi	17	6	2	9	-10	20
13	Asteras Tripolis	18	4	3	11	-6	15
14	Panionios	17	3	4	10	-16	13
15	Panetolikos	17	1	5	11	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	OFI Crete	10	7	1	2	+12	22
3	PAOK	9	6	3	0	+12	21
4	AEK	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	Aris	9	5	2	2	+11	17
6	Volos NFC	9	5	2	2	+2	17
7	Atromitos	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	8	4	2	2	+9	14
9	Lamia	8	3	5	0	+3	14
10	Larisa	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Panathinaikos	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Asteras Tripolis	8	3	2	3	+2	11
13	Xanthi	9	3	2	4	+0	11
14	Panionios	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	Panetolikos	8	1	3	4	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Olympiakos	9	5	4	0	+11	19
3	Larisa	9	3	3	3	-2	12
4	AEK	8	3	2	3	-1	11
5	Panathinaikos	9	2	5	2	-6	11
6	Xanthi	8	3	0	5	-10	9
7	Aris	8	1	5	2	-2	8
8	Aris Thessalonikis	8	1	5	2	-2	8
9	Atromitos	8	2	1	5	-7	7
10	Volos NFC	10	2	1	7	-16	7
11	Lamia	9	1	3	5	-9	6
12	OFI Crete	9	1	2	6	-5	5
13	Asteras Tripolis	10	1	1	8	-8	4
14	Panionios	8	1	1	6	-15	4
15	Panetolikos	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.