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Super League
Referee: C Turpin
PAOK
U U S U U
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Super League · 39/35 matches
Win Ø 43%
56%
29%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
49%
Both score Ø 51%
44%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 39 31 7 1 +62 100
2 AEK 39 22 11 6 +34 77
3 PAOK 39 22 11 6 +29 77
4 Panathinaikos 39 16 14 9 +9 62
5 Atromitos 35 12 10 13 -1 46
6 Asteras Tripolis 35 11 11 13 +1 44
7 Aris 36 10 12 14 -3 42
8 Aris Thessalonikis 35 10 11 14 -3 41
9 Larisa 35 9 13 13 -9 40
10 OFI Crete 39 11 7 21 -13 40
11 Lamia 35 6 19 10 -13 37
12 Xanthi 35 9 9 17 -15 36
13 Volos NFC 35 9 7 19 -30 34
14 Panetolikos 35 7 11 17 -18 32
15 Panionios 35 7 9 19 -30 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
O. El Kaddouri 🟨
18′
K. Swiderski 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 J. Matilla
D. Limnios 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
64′
A. Esiti 🔁
↦ O. El Kaddouri
71′
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ D. Biseswar
71′
Vieirinha 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Alves
77′
M. Stoch 🔁
↦ E. Mihaj
78′
86′
🟨 H. Sousa
89′
🟨 D. Mancini
Vieirinha 🟥
95′
96′
🔁 P. Tsagkalidis
↦ D. Diamantopoulos
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

PAOK

3-4-1-2
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
23 D. Giannoulis D
49 I. Michailidis D
6 E. Mihaj D
21 D. Biseswar M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
8 Maurício M
9 K. Świderski F
68 C. Tzolis F
Bench (9)
18 D. Limnios
24 A. Esiti
47 C. Akpom
20 Vieirinha
99 M. Stoch
70 G. Koutsias
88 Ž. Živković
51 T. Tsiggaras
3 Léo Matos

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-1-1
23 Julián G
5 G. Delizisis D
3 Hugo Sousa D
40 P. Bagalianis D
16 Bruno Gama M
26 Matilla M
88 Lucas Sasha M
18 N. Martínez M
24 D. Mancini M
38 P. Bakoutsis M
9 D. Diamantopoulos F
Bench (2)
31 P. Tsagkalidis
1 F. Ehmann

Coach: M. Oenning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.