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Süper Lig
Referee: Atilla Karaoglan
Alanyaspor
U S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Besiktas
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 62%
64%
60%
Points per game
2,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
27%
70%
Both score Ø 53%
36%
70%
Average goals
2,4
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
20 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 1. · Besiktas 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 11 7 2 2 +14 23
2 Galatasaray 11 7 2 2 +12 23
3 Fenerbahce 12 7 2 3 +6 23
4 Besiktas 10 6 1 3 +3 19
5 Goztep 12 4 6 2 +6 18
6 Kasimpasa 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Hatayspor 10 5 3 2 +0 18
8 Karagumruk 12 4 5 3 +5 17
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Konyaspor 11 4 3 4 +4 15
11 Gaziantep 10 3 6 1 +2 15
12 Buyuksehyr 11 4 3 4 +1 15
13 Rizespor 11 4 3 4 -2 15
14 Trabzonspor 12 3 5 4 -3 14
15 Antalyaspor 11 3 4 4 -4 13
16 Genclerbirligi 11 3 2 6 -8 11
17 Sivasspor 10 2 4 4 -3 10
18 Kayserispor 11 2 4 5 -6 10
19 Erzurumspor 12 2 3 7 -10 9
20 Denizlispor 11 1 3 7 -11 6
21 Ankaragücü 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Besiktas
Davidson ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
25′
1–0 A. Bakasetas
26′
34′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. N'Koudou
↦ V. Rosier
46′
🔁 B. Mensah
↦ C. Larin
Khouma Babacar 🟨
54′
Tayfur Bingöl 🟨
57′
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ A. Bareiro
66′
70′
🟨 Rachid Ghezzal
2–0 A. Bakasetas
T. Bingöl
79′
Khouma Babacar 🟨
82′
Khouma Babacar 🟥
82′
83′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ R. Ghezzal
83′
🔁 O. Özyakup
↦ A. Hutchinson
E. Bekiroglu 🔁
↦ Davidson
86′
F. Aksoy 🔁
↦ A. Bakasetas
86′
Efkan Bekiroğlu 🟨
89′
Georgios Tzavellas 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Francisco Montero
90′
V. Aboubakar 2–1
U. Güneş 🔁
↦ E. Siopis
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
24 Juanfran D
26 E. Siopis M
75 T. Bingöl D
22 B. Kutlu M
10 K. Babacar M
11 A. Bakasetas M
91 Davidson M
9 A. Bareiro F
Bench (7)
19 M. Pektemek
23 E. Bekiroglu
5 F. Aksoy
27 U. Güneş
20 H. Ayaroğlu
13 A. Güney
4 A. Çelebi

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
97 U. Yuvakuran G
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
4 Javi Montero D
33 R. Yılmaz D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
18 R. Ghezzal M
26 D. Toköz M
14 V. Aboubakar F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
7 G. N'Koudou
43 B. Mensah
9 G. Yalçın
10 O. Özyakup
27 A. Üner
21 F. N'Sakala
30 E. Destanoğlu
46 S. Saatçı
24 D. Vida
20 N. Uysal

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
U
3,73
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Atilla Karaoglan · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.