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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Lugano
U S S U S
0–1
Full-time
Zurich
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Super League · 8/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
38%
80%
Both score Ø 62%
63%
60%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
17 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 3. · Zurich 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 9 6 3 0 +8 21
2 Basel 11 6 1 4 +5 19
3 Lugano 8 4 4 0 +4 16
4 St. Gallen 9 4 3 2 +1 15
5 Zurich 10 4 2 4 +3 14
6 Luzern 11 3 3 5 -1 12
7 Lausanne 10 3 3 4 -1 12
8 Servette 10 3 2 5 -3 11
9 Sion 10 1 4 5 -7 7
10 Vaduz 10 1 3 6 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.