La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Barcelona
Levante
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sociedad
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +17 | 26 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +17 | 26 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |
Cadiz
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Granada
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 |
Betis
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 9 |
Eibar
|
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |
Barcelona
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 14 |
| 12 |
Ath Bilbao
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +0 | 14 |
| 13 |
Elche
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |
Alaves
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |
Valladolid
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 19 |
Huesca
|
13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. ter Stegen
G
C. Lenglet
D
R. Araújo
D
S. Dest
D
Coach: R. Koeman
Aitor Fernández
G
Clerc
D
Jorge de Frutos
M
Coach: Paco López
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cadiz
Barcelona
Barcelona
Osasuna
Ath Madrid
Barcelona
Barcelona
Betis
Alaves
Barcelona
Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.