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Super League
Referee: D Karantonis
Larisa
U S T U T
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Super League · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 43%
11%
75%
Points per game
0,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Larisa 13. · Aris Thessalonikis 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 9 8 1 0 +16 25
2 Aris 9 7 1 1 +9 22
3 PAOK 9 6 3 0 +11 21
4 AEK 8 6 1 1 +10 19
5 Aris Thessalonikis 8 6 1 1 +6 19
6 Volos NFC 10 3 4 3 -1 13
7 Atromitos 10 3 4 3 -4 13
8 Panathinaikos 11 3 3 5 -1 12
9 OFI Crete 10 3 3 4 -2 12
10 Asteras Tripolis 10 3 3 4 -2 12
11 Giannina 11 2 4 5 -2 10
12 Apollon 10 1 3 6 -7 6
13 Larisa 9 1 3 5 -9 6
14 Panetolikos 11 0 4 7 -11 4
15 Lamia 9 0 2 7 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa Aris Thessalonikis
18′
D. Manos 0–1
E. Sakic
Ioannis Kosti 🟨
30′
Tim Sparv 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
G. Torje 🔁
↦ I. Kosti
53′
Ali Ghazal 🔁
↦ T. Iliadis
53′
D. Pinakas 🔁
↦ V. Platelas
53′
Mateo Mužek 🟨
57′
69′
🔁 Xande Silva
↦ F. Bertoglio
69′
🔁 E. Kaçe
↦ Lucas Sasha
71′
🟨 Bruno Gama
73′
D. Manos 0–2
77′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ Bruno Gama
78′
🔁 Cristian López
↦ D. Manos
S. Glinos 🔁
↦ T. Sparv
81′
Steliano Filip 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 P. Bagalianis
↦ M. García
96′
Xande Silva 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Larisa

3-5-2
1 G. Nagy G
25 M. Bertos D
16 N. Žižić D
7 S. Filip D
13 M. Mužek D
48 I. Kosti F
4 T. Iliadis D
6 T. Sparv M
11 V. Platelas M
92 N. Trujić F
9 F. Durmishaj F
Bench (9)
10 G. Torje
66 Ali Ghazal
17 D. Pinakas
14 S. Glinos
21 G. Zacharakis
19 V. Bajić
27 D. Loufakis
23 G. Maidanos
70 G. Daktylas

Coach: G. Tatsis

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
99 M. Siampanis G
92 L. Rose D
66 E. Sakic M
5 G. Delizisis D
22 C. Ganea D
16 Bruno Gama M
26 Matilla M
18 F. Bertoglio M
88 Lucas Sasha M
10 M. García M
9 D. Manos F
Bench (9)
17 Xande Silva
20 E. Kaçe
7 D. Mancini
11 Cristian López
40 P. Bagalianis
38 P. Bakoutsis
30 Z. Boucher
21 D. Sundgren
4 T. Datković

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Karantonis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
32,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.