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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Elche
T U U U U
0–1
Full-time
Granada
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 33%
30%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
30%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
1,9
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
9 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 13. · Granada 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 13 7 5 1 +17 26
2 Ath Madrid 11 8 2 1 +17 26
3 Real Madrid 12 7 2 3 +7 23
4 Villarreal 13 5 7 1 +4 22
5 Sevilla 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Cadiz 12 5 3 4 -2 18
7 Betis 13 5 1 7 -9 16
8 Eibar 13 3 6 4 -1 15
9 Granada 11 4 3 4 -6 15
10 Barcelona 10 4 2 4 +9 14
11 Valencia 13 3 5 5 +0 14
12 Ath Bilbao 12 4 2 6 +0 14
13 Elche 10 3 5 2 -1 14
14 Alaves 13 3 5 5 -3 14
15 Getafe 12 3 4 5 -5 13
16 Valladolid 13 3 4 6 -6 13
17 Celta 12 3 4 5 -7 13
18 Levante 11 2 5 4 -2 11
19 Huesca 13 1 8 4 -8 11
20 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Granada
Josema 🟨
10′
42′
L. Suárez 0–1
D. Machís
Half-time 0–1
Raúl Guti 🔁
↦ Pere Milla
46′
J. Sánchez 🔁
↦ Josema Sánchez
46′
Juan Sánchez Miño 🟨
48′
Diego Gonzalez 🟨
73′
E. Rigoni 🔁
↦ Josan Ferrández
73′
75′
🔁 Antonio Puertas
↦ L. Suárez
81′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ Soldado
86′
🟨 Maxime Gonalons
89′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ M. Gonalons
89′
🔁 Quini
↦ D. Machís
Antonio Barragán 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Antonio Puertas
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Elche

4-1-4-1
13 Edgar Badia G
19 Barragán D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
2 Diego González D
24 Josema Sánchez D
4 I. Marcone M
16 Fidel M
17 Josan Ferrández M
10 Pere Milla M
9 L. Boyé F
11 Tete Morente M
Bench (12)
14 Raúl Guti
3 J. Sánchez
22 E. Rigoni
15 Luismi Sánchez
12 Dani Calvo
1 D. Rodríguez
20 S. Lucumí
23 Cifuentes
6 O. Mfulu
18 Y. Koné
7 Nino
8 Víctor Rodríguez

Coach: J. Almirón

Granada

4-1-4-1
1 Rui Silva G
2 D. Foulquier D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 Carlos Neva D
3 N. Pérez D
4 M. Gonalons M
5 Luis Milla M
21 Y. Herrera M
9 Soldado F
11 D. Machís M
7 L. Suárez M
Bench (10)
10 Antonio Puertas
23 Jorge Molina
8 Y. Eteki
17 Quini
31 Arnau Fàbrega
12 R. Azeez
13 Aarón Escandell
28 Pepe Sánchez
24 Kenedy
26 Alberto Soro

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,34
U
3,10
B ✓
2,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.