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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Ankaragücü
S S T T T
2–1
Full-time
Rizespor
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Rizespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
16%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
46%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

28% Possession 72%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ankaragücü 17. · Rizespor 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 25 15 7 3 +31 52
2 Buyuksehyr 25 15 7 3 +25 52
3 Galatasaray 25 14 7 4 +24 49
4 Sivasspor 25 14 7 4 +19 49
5 Besiktas 25 13 4 8 +8 43
6 Alanyaspor 25 11 7 7 +18 40
7 Fenerbahce 25 11 7 7 +13 40
8 Goztep 24 9 7 8 +1 34
9 Gaziantep 25 8 8 9 -4 32
10 Denizlispor 25 7 7 11 -9 28
11 Genclerbirligi 25 7 7 11 -10 28
12 Antalyaspor 25 6 9 10 -15 27
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 25 6 7 12 -1 25
14 Rizespor 24 7 4 13 -15 25
15 Konyaspor 25 4 11 10 -13 23
16 Kasimpasa 25 6 5 14 -14 23
17 Ankaragücü 25 4 8 13 -23 20
18 Kayserispor 25 4 7 14 -35 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Rizespor
0–1 B. Albayrak ⚽
own goal
17′
Konrad Michalak 🟨
20′
1–1 G. Rodrigues ⚽
D. Lukasik
22′
Half-time 1–2
46′
⚽ D. Harmash 1–2
Samu
56′
🔁 T. Torun
↦ A. Durak
Ante Kulušić 🟨
57′
64′
🟨 Ismaël Diomandé
E. Scarione 🔁
↦ S. Ağçay
67′
71′
🔁 T. Çetin
↦ G. Akkan
S. Lobzhanidze 🔁
↦ K. Michalak
76′
82′
🔁 Yan Sasse
↦ D. Harmash
İ. Parlak 🔁
↦ D. Orgill
86′
90′
🟨 Mykola Morozyuk
90′
🟨 Mykola Morozyuk
90′
🟥 Mykola Morozyuk
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
25 Ricardo Friedrich G
22 M. Pazdan D
13 A. Kulusic D
89 A. Turan D
70 S. Kitsiou D
14 R. Faty M
3 S. Ağçay M
35 D. Lukasik M
18 K. Michalak M
12 D. Orgill F
9 G. Rodrigues M
Bench (10)
7 E. Scarione
24 S. Lobzhanidze
23 İ. Parlak
20 A. Karabulut
30 G. Rivas
5 A. Kubalas
19 C. Karayel
11 M. Akan
15 O. Çınar
1 K. Çelikay

Coach: M. Akçay

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
23 G. Akkan G
55 M. Moroziuk D
53 D. Melnjak D
4 M. Talbi D
28 B. Albayrak D
5 A. Durak M
20 D. Harmash M
10 Rick Boldrin M
27 I. Diomandé M
21 M. Škoda F
18 Samu M
Bench (10)
29 T. Torun
13 T. Çetin
70 Yan Sasse
77 O. Ovacıklı
17 O. Çağlayan
35 A. Koç
64 Ivanildo Fernandes
96 A. Boryachuk
66 O. Güçtekin
44 A. Vetrih

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,41
U
3,22
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.