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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Støfringshaug
Start
S U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Valerenga
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,8
5,0
Scored
1,7
4,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+3,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 39%
21%
57%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
57%
Both score Ø 75%
79%
71%
Average goals
3,3
3,9
Scored
1,3
2,6
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 14. · Valerenga 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 14 8 3 3 +18 27
2 Egersund 14 7 5 2 +9 26
3 Moss 14 8 2 4 +2 26
4 Bryne 14 8 0 6 +4 24
5 Kongsvinger 13 7 3 3 +0 24
6 Sogndal 14 6 5 3 +9 23
7 Stabaek 13 6 4 3 +7 22
8 Raufoss 13 5 3 5 +0 18
9 Lyn 13 4 5 4 +6 17
10 Ranheim 14 4 5 5 +0 17
11 Levanger 13 3 6 4 +4 15
12 Mjondalen 14 3 5 6 -6 14
13 Asane 14 3 4 7 -7 13
14 Start 14 3 4 7 -10 13
15 Aalesund 14 2 3 9 -15 9
16 Sandnes ULF 13 2 3 8 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Valerenga
Half-time 0–0
K. Makosso 🟨
53′
57′
🟨 F. Ambina
1–0 D. Dasjajev
63′
S. Nkubiri 🔁
↦ D. Dasjajev
69′
72′
🔁 F. Thorvaldsen
↦ D. Håkans
72′
🔁 C. Lange
↦ M. Riisnæs
72′
🔁 M. Brajanac
↦ M. Rijks
75′
🔁 S. Juklerød
↦ C. Borchgrevink
77′
H. Bjørdal 1–1
K. Hoven 🔁
↦ S. Grønli
94′
94′
🔁 P. Strand
↦ J. El Abdellaoui
96′
P. Strand 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Start

1 J. Torkildsen
2 F. Pålerud
5 N. Jenssen
19 D. Dasjajev
11 E. Schulze
8 M. Grundetjern
6 K. Makosso
21 S. Sjøkvist
16 T. Strannegård
20 H. Lorentzen
7 S. Grønli
Bench (7)
44 S. Nkubiri
9 K. Hoven
12 H. Seierstad Johnsen
17 S. Richardsen
18 J. Seim
30 L. Gausdal
27 S. Svela

Coach: A. Karadas

Valerenga

21 M. Sjøeng
6 V. Hedenstad
2 C. Borchgrevink
4 A. Kiil Olsen
8 H. Bjørdal
55 S. Jarl
11 D. Håkans
7 M. Riisnæs
29 F. Ambina
9 M. Rijks
25 J. El Abdellaoui
Bench (9)
26 F. Thorvaldsen
17 C. Lange
80 M. Brajanac
18 S. Juklerød
24 P. Strand
1 J. Storevik
5 N. Idumba
19 O. Kamara
22 S. Sjøvold

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Støfringshaug · 64 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.