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Super League

Referee: Ə Ağayev

PAOK

T S T T S

3–2

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Super League · 36/32 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

59%

Both score Ø 42%

42%

41%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match PAOK 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	35	27	3	5	+54	84
2	Panathinaikos	35	26	6	3	+35	84
3	PAOK	36	20	10	6	+26	70
4	Olympiakos	36	19	10	7	+38	67
5	Aris Thessalonikis	32	14	5	13	+14	47
6	Aris	33	14	5	14	+13	47
7	Volos NFC	35	12	7	16	-22	43
8	OFI Crete	33	9	11	13	-9	38
9	Atromitos	33	8	11	14	-5	35
10	Panetolikos	33	8	9	16	-16	33
11	Asteras Tripolis	33	5	15	13	-17	30
12	Giannina	33	6	12	15	-24	30
13	Lamia	33	6	12	15	-34	30
14	Ionikos	33	7	7	19	-27	28
15	Levadeiakos	33	4	13	16	-26	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	18	15	1	2	+34	46
2	PAOK	18	12	3	3	+19	39
3	Panathinaikos	16	12	3	1	+16	39
4	Olympiakos	18	11	5	2	+26	38
5	Aris Thessalonikis	16	10	2	4	+16	32
6	Aris	16	10	2	4	+16	32
7	Atromitos	17	6	7	4	+4	25
8	Asteras Tripolis	17	5	9	3	+3	24
9	Volos NFC	19	6	2	11	-18	20
10	Lamia	16	5	4	7	-12	19
11	Giannina	16	4	6	6	-10	18
12	Levadeiakos	16	3	8	5	-5	17
13	Panetolikos	17	4	5	8	-8	17
14	Ionikos	16	4	5	7	-9	17
15	OFI Crete	17	3	6	8	-11	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	19	14	3	2	+19	45
2	AEK	17	12	2	3	+20	38
3	PAOK	18	8	7	3	+7	31
4	Olympiakos	18	8	5	5	+12	29
5	OFI Crete	16	6	5	5	+2	23
6	Volos NFC	16	6	5	5	-4	23
7	Panetolikos	16	4	4	8	-8	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	16	4	3	9	-2	15
9	Aris	17	4	3	10	-3	15
10	Giannina	17	2	6	9	-14	12
11	Ionikos	17	3	2	12	-18	11
12	Lamia	17	1	8	8	-22	11
13	Atromitos	16	2	4	10	-9	10
14	Levadeiakos	17	1	5	11	-21	8
15	Asteras Tripolis	16	0	6	10	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.