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Super League

Referee: C Vergetis

Larisa

T T U U T

1–2

Full-time

Panetolikos

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Panetolikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 23%

17%

28%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 43%

52%

34%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,16 xG 0,87

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Larisa 13. · Panetolikos 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	29	20	7	2	+34	+9.6	67
2	PAOK	29	18	8	3	+37	+7.2	62
3	Olympiakos	29	18	8	3	+34	+11.9	62
4	Panathinaikos	29	15	9	5	+20	+8.6	54
5	Levadeiakos	30	12	10	8	+14	-7.3	46
6	OFI Crete	29	12	3	14	-6	-8.0	39
7	Volos NFC	29	9	6	14	-14	+3.0	33
8	Atromitos	29	7	10	12	-5	-1.4	31
9	Aris Thessalonikis	27	6	13	8	-7	-3.0	31
10	Aris	27	6	13	8	-7	–	31
11	Panetolikos	29	8	6	15	-13	-2.5	30
12	Kifisia	29	6	10	13	-12	-0.9	28
13	Larisa	29	5	11	13	-19	-6.0	26
14	Panserraikos	29	5	7	17	-38	-6.3	22
15	Asteras Tripolis	29	4	9	16	-18	-5.0	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	15	12	3	0	+26	+4.8	39
2	AEK	14	12	1	1	+21	+5.9	37
3	Olympiakos	15	10	3	2	+19	+4.9	33
4	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+17	+3.9	31
5	Levadeiakos	16	8	5	3	+17	-3.6	29
6	OFI Crete	14	7	0	7	+6	-3.8	21
7	Volos NFC	15	5	6	4	-3	+4.3	21
8	Kifisia	15	4	4	7	-3	+1.3	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	13	2	9	2	-1	+2.4	15
10	Aris	13	2	9	2	-1	–	15
11	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-8	+0.2	15
12	Asteras Tripolis	15	3	5	7	-2	-1.6	14
13	Panetolikos	15	4	2	9	-9	+1.5	14
14	Panserraikos	14	3	3	8	-16	-4.0	12
15	Atromitos	14	2	5	7	-5	+0.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	15	8	6	1	+13	+3.7	30
2	Olympiakos	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.0	29
3	PAOK	14	6	5	3	+11	+2.4	23
4	Panathinaikos	15	6	5	4	+3	+4.7	23
5	Atromitos	15	5	5	5	+0	-1.5	20
6	OFI Crete	15	5	3	7	-12	-4.2	18
7	Levadeiakos	14	4	5	5	-3	-3.7	17
8	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.0	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	14	4	4	6	-6	-5.3	16
10	Aris	14	4	4	6	-6	–	16
11	Kifisia	14	2	6	6	-9	-2.2	12
12	Volos NFC	14	4	0	10	-11	-1.3	12
13	Larisa	15	2	5	8	-11	-6.2	11
14	Panserraikos	15	2	4	9	-22	-2.3	10
15	Asteras Tripolis	14	1	4	9	-16	-3.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.