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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Asteras Tripolis

T T T U T

3–1

Full-time

Larisa

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Larisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 15%

11%

18%

Points per game

0,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

43%

36%

Both score Ø 47%

43%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,41 xG 0,74

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 3

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 15. · Larisa 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	28	19	7	2	+33	+9.5	64
2	Olympiakos	28	18	8	2	+35	+12.0	62
3	PAOK	28	18	7	3	+37	+7.0	61
4	Panathinaikos	28	15	8	5	+20	+8.8	53
5	Levadeiakos	28	12	8	8	+14	-8.2	44
6	OFI Crete	28	12	2	14	-6	-8.5	38
7	Volos NFC	28	9	5	14	-14	+3.5	32
8	Atromitos	28	7	9	12	-5	-1.1	30
9	Aris Thessalonikis	26	6	12	8	-7	-2.1	30
10	Aris	26	6	12	8	-7	–	30
11	Panetolikos	28	8	5	15	-13	-2.8	29
12	Kifisia	29	6	10	13	-12	-0.9	28
13	Larisa	28	5	11	12	-17	-5.3	26
14	Panserraikos	29	5	7	17	-38	-6.3	22
15	Asteras Tripolis	28	3	9	16	-20	-5.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	14	12	2	0	+26	+4.6	38
2	AEK	14	12	1	1	+21	+5.9	37
3	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+20	+5.0	33
4	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+17	+3.9	31
5	Levadeiakos	14	8	3	3	+17	-4.4	27
6	OFI Crete	14	7	0	7	+6	-3.8	21
7	Volos NFC	14	5	5	4	-3	+4.8	20
8	Kifisia	15	4	4	7	-3	+1.3	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	13	2	9	2	-1	+2.4	15
10	Aris	13	2	9	2	-1	–	15
11	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-8	+0.2	15
12	Panetolikos	14	4	1	9	-9	+1.2	13
13	Panserraikos	14	3	3	8	-16	-4.0	12
14	Asteras Tripolis	14	2	5	7	-4	-2.3	11
15	Atromitos	14	2	5	7	-5	+0.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.0	29
2	AEK	14	7	6	1	+12	+3.6	27
3	PAOK	14	6	5	3	+11	+2.4	23
4	Panathinaikos	14	6	4	4	+3	+4.9	22
5	Atromitos	14	5	4	5	+0	-1.2	19
6	Levadeiakos	14	4	5	5	-3	-3.7	17
7	OFI Crete	14	5	2	7	-12	-4.7	17
8	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.0	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	13	4	3	6	-6	-4.5	15
10	Aris	13	4	3	6	-6	–	15
11	Kifisia	14	2	6	6	-9	-2.2	12
12	Volos NFC	14	4	0	10	-11	-1.3	12
13	Larisa	14	2	5	7	-9	-5.5	11
14	Panserraikos	15	2	4	9	-22	-2.3	10
15	Asteras Tripolis	14	1	4	9	-16	-3.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.