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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Huru
Raufoss
T S T S S
3–0
Full-time
Sogndal
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,8
5,0
Scored
2,2
2,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 44%
37%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
58%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 9. · Sogndal 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 19 10 8 1 +15 38
2 Kongsvinger 19 12 2 5 +12 38
3 KFUM Oslo 19 10 4 5 +8 34
4 Sogndal 18 9 4 5 +6 31
5 Start 19 8 6 5 +12 30
6 Kristiansund 17 7 5 5 +4 26
7 Moss 19 7 5 7 -2 26
8 Ranheim 19 8 2 9 -13 26
9 Raufoss 19 7 4 8 +0 25
10 Jerv 19 7 4 8 -6 25
11 Sandnes ULF 18 6 5 7 +7 23
12 Bryne 18 6 4 8 -2 22
13 Mjondalen 19 6 3 10 -6 21
14 Asane 19 3 8 8 -6 17
15 hodd 18 4 5 9 -7 17
16 Skeid 19 2 5 12 -22 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raufoss Sogndal
1–0 M. Johnsgård
17′
J. Haruna 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 P. Flo
↦ I. Twum
62′
🔁 E. Grønner
↦ V. Ingimundarson
J. Ampofo 🔁
↦ A. Helmersen
68′
M. Fagernes 🔁
↦ M. Johnsgård
68′
74′
🟨 P. Flo
J. Ampofo 🟨
75′
2–0 J. Ampofo
75′
76′
🔁 J. Berg Nundal
↦ K. Nessø
78′
🟨 D. Arrocha
87′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ D. Arrocha
87′
🔁 E. Flataker
↦ Ó. Borgþórsson
3–0 J. Ampofo
92′
T. Engebakken 🔁
↦ L. Mettler
93′
O. Jansson 🔁
↦ R. Nelson
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
4 S. Westerlund
14 J. Haruna
6 E. Emsis
8 M. Johnsgård
10 L. Mettler
11 N. Fremstad
22 R. Nelson
20 G. Simenstad
9 A. Helmersen
26 F. Brattbakk
Bench (8)
15 J. Ampofo
21 M. Fagernes
3 T. Engebakken
5 O. Jansson
7 A. Østerud
18 K. Somesi
31 A. Fagereng
33 M. Vieira

Coach: J. Wålemark

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
4 D. Arrocha
26 A. van der Spa
17 M. Sjølstad
15 K. Nessø
7 J. Jónsson
20 I. Twum
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
77 Ó. Borgþórsson
27 S. Ørjasæter
Bench (7)
13 P. Flo
28 E. Grønner
31 J. Berg Nundal
3 M. Gueye
30 E. Flataker
9 E. Kupen
35 D. Saetren

Coach: T. Flo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.