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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Hauge
Sogndal
U S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Fredrikstad
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 12. · Fredrikstad 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Bryne 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 Jerv 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Fredrikstad 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Asane 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Aalesund 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Raufoss 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Grorud 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Start 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Ranheim 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Stjørdals-Blink 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 Sogndal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Ull/Kisa 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Strommen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Sandnes ULF 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 KFUM Oslo 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Fredrikstad
Half-time 0–1
53′
N. Solberg 0–1
P. Michael 🔁
↦ E. Lereng
57′
57′
🔁 T. Ismaheel
↦ N. Solberg
65′
🟨 O. Oby
A. Adams 🔁
↦ A. Hoven
68′
1–1 K. Hoven
75′
80′
H. Johansen 1–2
E. Kupen 🔁
↦ A. Kryger
88′
89′
🔁 A. Ali
↦ R. Alba
90′
🔁 A. Hansen
↦ O. Øby
90′
🔁 L. Begby
↦ T. Drage
95′
🟨 A. Hansen
96′
🟨 H. Johansen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sogndal

31 M. Mbaye
2 P. Flo
6 A. Kryger
4 M. Roseth
5 D. Eid
16 E. Lereng
17 M. Blårud
8 K. Valsvik
15 K. Nessø
18 K. Hoven
11 A. Hoven
Bench (9)
14 P. Michael
10 A. Adams
9 E. Kupen
1 R. Fij
19 T. Bjørnebye
20 N. Solskjær
25 J. Bakke
27 A. Solberg
34 I. Skorve

Coach: E. Bakke

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
5 P. Aukland
23 A. Aleesami
7 T. Drage
14 J. Lindström
20 H. Åsheim
6 N. Solberg
9 H. Johansen
15 R. Alba
Bench (8)
12 T. Ismaheel
16 A. Ali
2 A. Hansen
18 L. Begby
10 L. Reuterswärd
13 A. Karstensen
29 K. Getz
19 O. Øby

Coach: B. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.