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Taça de Portugal
AD Fornos Algodres
T
3–1
Full-time
Charneca Caparica
U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AD Fornos Algodres Charneca Caparica
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
5,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lusitano Évora 1911 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 CD Olivais e Moscavide 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Caldas 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Vila Meã 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Espinho 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Comércio Indústria 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Vila Real 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Amarante 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 CF Os Belenenses 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 1º Dezembro 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Vila Caíz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 AD Marco 09 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Celoricense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Ovarense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
16 Marinhense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
17 Moncarapachense 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Gouveia 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Anadia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
20 Mortágua 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Os Marialvas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Peniche 2 1 0 1 +7 3
23 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 1 0 0 +6 3
24 Alpendorada 1 1 0 0 +6 3
25 Sacavenense 2 1 0 1 +5 3
26 Atlético Malveira 2 1 0 1 +5 3
27 Bragança 1 1 0 0 +5 3
28 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
29 Louletano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
30 São João Ver 1 1 0 0 +4 3
31 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +4 3
32 Trofense 2 1 0 1 +3 3
33 Academico Viseu 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 União de Leiria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 O Elvas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Oliveirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 FC Serpa 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Naval 1893 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Torreense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Ançã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Chaves 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Farense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Silves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Rebordosa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Mirandela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 União Lamas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Resende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Fafe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Atlético CP 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Pacos Ferreira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Uniao Nogueirense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Salgueiros 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 Correlhã 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Oriental Lisboa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 Nazarenos 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Monção 2 1 0 1 -1 3
60 Machico 2 1 0 1 -1 3
61 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2 1 0 1 -3 3
62 Brito 2 1 0 1 -4 3
63 Castrense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
64 Rebordelo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 SC Covilha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Samora Correir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Portimonense B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Penafiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Charneca Caparica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Oliveira Hospital 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Eléctrico 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Tirsense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Lagoa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 AR São Martinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Vitória de Sernache 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Carregal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Academica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Juventude Évora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Vilaverdense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Quarteirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Amora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Florgrade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Cinfães 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Mafra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Celeirós 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Pontassolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Aparecida GO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Leça 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 União Santarém 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Paredes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 UD da Serra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Vidago 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Valenciano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Fátima 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Portalegrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Varzim 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Almodôvar 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Sanjoanense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Os Limianos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Operário 1 0 0 1 -5 0
121 Fayal 1 0 0 1 -5 0
122 Angrense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
123 Estrela Calheta 1 0 0 1 -6 0
124 SC Celoricense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
125 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
126 Urzelinense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
127 Lajense 2 0 0 2 -7 0
128 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -7 0
129 Ferreira Zêzere 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AD Fornos Algodres Charneca Caparica
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Bruno Costa ⚽
67′
2–0 P. Moises ⚽
90′
3–0 Luisinho ⚽
90′
90′
⚽ G. Naia 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.