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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
Roda
U T U T T
0–5
Full-time
NAC Breda
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 28 4 1 +88 +66.3 88
2 Feyenoord 33 25 6 2 +62 +65.9 81
3 Twente 33 20 6 7 +32 +19.0 66
4 AZ Alkmaar 33 19 7 7 +31 +17.0 64
5 Ajax 33 15 10 8 +13 +10.4 55
6 Nijmegen 32 13 10 9 +14 -14.9 49
7 Utrecht 31 12 10 9 +2 -4.5 46
8 Sparta Rotterdam 32 12 7 13 +1 -8.2 43
9 Go Ahead Eagles 31 11 9 11 +1 -6.6 42
10 Heerenveen 33 10 7 16 -16 -6.1 37
11 For Sittard 33 9 10 14 -19 +2.2 37
12 Zwolle 33 9 9 15 -21 -18.2 36
13 Almere City 33 7 13 13 -23 -16.5 34
14 Heracles 33 9 5 19 -33 -26.1 32
15 Waalwijk 33 7 8 18 -16 -10.9 29
16 Excelsior 33 6 11 16 -19 -11.3 29
17 Vitesse 33 6 5 22 -44 -24.0 23
18 Volendam 33 4 7 22 -53 -33.4 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda NAC Breda
21′
🟨 Casper Staring
Boyd Reith 🟨
33′
38′
🟨 Cuco Martina
44′
B. Kemper 0–1
S. Haugen
Half-time 0–2
49′
D. Janošek 0–2
M. Güçlü 🔁
↦ W. Ould-Chikh
54′
L. Daneels 🔁
↦ A. van der Heide
54′
L. Beerten 🔁
↦ B. Koglin
54′
55′
🔁 Manel Royo
↦ B. Kemper
56′
🔁 M. Garbett
↦ F. Oldrup Jensen
N. Vossebelt 🔁
↦ W. Spieringhs
59′
O. Džepar 🔁
↦ R. Kongolo
59′
59′
R. Kuijpers 0–3
M. Garbett
67′
🔁 V. Wernersson
↦ D. Janošek
67′
🔁 M. Koscelník
↦ B. Lucassen
Niek Vossebelt 🟨
70′
75′
M. Koscelník 0–4
V. Wernersson
78′
S. Haugen 0–5
V. Wernersson
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 K. Bucker G
44 B. Reith D
3 M. Didden D
4 B. Koglin D
2 J. Müller D
6 W. Spieringhs M
21 R. Kongolo M
26 A. van der Heide M
25 S. Ouaissa M
10 W. Ould-Chikh M
11 V. Sejk F
Bench (12)
29 M. Güçlü
14 L. Daneels
15 L. Beerten
8 N. Vossebelt
17 O. Džepar
13 N. Röseler
28 S. Krawczyk
19 L. Krasniqi
20 L. Been
7 E. Peña Zauner
27 M. Bangura
16 C. Raatsie

Coach: B. Sibum

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
36 P. van de Merbel G
2 B. Lucassen D
15 C. Martina D
5 J. Van den Bergh D
4 B. Kemper D
20 F. Oldrup Jensen M
6 C. Staring M
17 R. Kuijpers M
22 A. Omgba M
39 D. Janošek M
9 S. Haugen F
Bench (12)
21 Manel Royo
7 M. Garbett
31 V. Wernersson
3 M. Koscelník
1 R. Kortsmit
27 T. Marijnissen
10 E. Ómarsson
19 T. Boere
37 A. van Lare
23 R. Besselink
35 B. van Schuppen
25 C. Valerius

Coach: J. van Gastel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.