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Referee: E van de Graaf

Katwijk

S U S T S

2–3

Full-time

Twente

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Katwijk Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	ASWH	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Eemdijk	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Quick '20	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
19	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
20	Dovo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
21	Koninklijke HFC	3	2	0	1	-5	6
22	FC Lisse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
25	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+5	3
26	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
60	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
61	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
10	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Dovo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
30	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
32	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Quick '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	ASWH	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-6	3
36	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.