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KNVB Beker

Referee: P Henshuijs

Spakenburg

S T S S T

2–4

Full-time

Katwijk

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spakenburg Katwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 55%

50%

60%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

67%

80%

Both score Ø 72%

83%

60%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,0

2,4

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

22 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 10

7 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 9

0 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Eemdijk	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Dovo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
17	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
18	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
20	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
27	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	MVV	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
54	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
55	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	MVV	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
28	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
29	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
32	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.