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Coupe de France
Referee: J Gueguen

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 SA Mérignac 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Caen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Boulogne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Ginglin Cesson 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Chasselay MDA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 RC Saint Joseph 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Dragon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Raon l'Etape 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Biesheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Corte 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Diables Noirs 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Samaritaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Ruffiac Malestroit 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
34 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
36 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0
37 Haubourdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0
38 St-Philbert Réorthe JA 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Saint-Pierre Milizac Dinan Léhon
Half-time 0–1
78′
A. Vermet 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Saint-Pierre Milizac

K. Uguen
E. Henry
T. Quellec
T. Jacob
Bench (1)
D. Thomas

Coach: Y. Boulic

Dinan Léhon

V. Lefèbvre
H. Jacquemin
A. Vermet
Bench (2)
C. Guyon
S. Lucas

Coach: S. Lamant

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.