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Coupe de France

Referee: J Gueguen

Dinan Léhon

3–1

Full-time

TA Rennes

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Laval	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Caen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Coulaines	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Plessis Robinson 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Sarre Union	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Domerat	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Coulaines	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Plessis Robinson 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sarre Union	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Laval	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Caen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Domerat	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

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U1,5

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O2,5 ✓

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U2,5

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O3,5 ✓

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U3,5

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Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

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BLS nei

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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Odds comparison

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