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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Villarreal
T T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Juventus
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
8,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,72 xG 1,60
45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Villarreal Juventus
6′
🟨 Juan Cabal
16′
🔁 Joao Mario
↦ J. Cabal
1–0 G. Mikautadze
N. Pepe
18′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Conceicao
↦ T. Koopmeiners
49′
F. Gatti 1–1
L. Kelly
56′
F. Conceicao 1–2
A. Moleiro 🔁
↦ T. Buchanan
64′
T. Oluwaseyi 🔁
↦ D. Parejo
64′
I. Akhomach 🔁
↦ G. Mikautadze
76′
S. Cardona 🔁
↦ A. Pedraza
76′
77′
🟨 Andrea Cambiaso
80′
🔁 V. Adzic
↦ K. Yildiz
80′
🔁 D. Rugani
↦ A. Cambiaso
Ilias Akhomach 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 D. Vlahovic
↦ J. David
2–2 R. Veiga
I. Akhomach
90′
96′
🟨 Francisco Conceição
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-3
25 A. Tenas G
15 S. Mourino D
4 R. Marin D
12 R. Veiga D
24 A. Pedraza D
14 S. Comesana M
10 D. Parejo M
18 P. Gueye M
19 N. Pepe F
9 G. Mikautadze F
17 T. Buchanan F
Bench (8)
1 Luiz Junior
13 D. Conde
3 A. Altimira
11 I. Akhomach
16 T. Partey
20 A. Moleiro
21 T. Oluwaseyi
23 S. Cardona

Coach: Marcelino

Juventus

3-4-2-1
1 M. Perin G
15 P. Kalulu D
4 F. Gatti D
6 L. Kelly D
27 A. Cambiaso M
5 M. Locatelli M
22 W. McKennie M
32 J. Cabal M
8 T. Koopmeiners F
10 K. Yildiz F
30 J. David F
Bench (10)
16 M. Di Gregorio
23 C. Pinsoglio
7 F. Conceicao
9 D. Vlahovic
11 E. Zhegrova
17 V. Adzic
18 F. Kostic
20 L. Openda
24 D. Rugani
25 Joao Mario

Coach: Luciano Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.