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League Cup
Referee: M Coy
Accrington ST
S S U S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Accrington ST Bradford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Accrington ST Bradford
Liam Coyle 🟨
32′
Shaun Whalley 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
46′
A. Pattison 0–1
T. Leigh 🔁
↦ L. Coyle
46′
60′
🟨 Brad Halliday
J. Andrews 🔁
↦ M. Lowe
64′
J. Nolan 🔁
↦ C. OBrien
64′
1–1 J. Andrews
J. Nolan
66′
74′
🔁 L. Hendrie
↦ L. Ridehalgh
74′
🔁 A. Gilliead
↦ R. Smallwood
86′
🟨 Sam Stubbs
Brad Hills 🟨
87′
O. Patrick 🔁
↦ R. Longelo-Mbule
90′
103′
🔁 T. Smith
↦ A. Pattison
121′
A. Cook 1–2
2–2 T. Leigh
122′
123′
A. Gilliead 2–3
J. Nolan
penalty missed
124′
125′
J. Walker 2–4
K. Adedoyin
penalty missed
126′
127′
C. Oduor 2–5
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Accrington ST

4-2-3-1
1 T. Savin G
12 S. Quirk D
25 A. Pickles D
5 B. Hills D
38 C. O'Brien D
6 L. Coyle M
22 D. Martin M
14 R. Longelo-Mbule M
55 K. Adedoyin M
7 S. Whalley M
9 M. Lowe F
Bench (9)
18 T. Leigh
19 J. Andrews
17 J. Nolan
20 O. Patrick
28 S. Conneely
13 L. Isherwood
3 J. Rich-Baghuelou
11 S. McConville
33 A. Popoola

Coach: J. Coleman

Bradford

3-4-2-1
1 H. Lewis G
5 M. Platt D
15 S. Stubbs D
18 C. Kelly D
2 B. Halliday M
10 A. Pattison M
6 R. Smallwood M
3 L. Ridehalgh M
12 C. Oduor F
7 J. Walker F
9 A. Cook F
Bench (9)
17 L. Hendrie
11 A. Gilliead
14 T. Smith
27 M. Derbyshire
13 C. Doyle
21 O. Odusina
26 K. McDonald
16 R. East
8 E. Osadebe

Coach: M. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Coy · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.