Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sunderland
Preston
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wolves
|
37 | 24 | 7 | 6 | +34 | 79 |
| 2 |
Cardiff
|
37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | +27 | 76 |
| 3 |
Fulham
|
35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | +25 | 65 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +23 | 62 |
| 5 |
Derby
|
35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | +22 | 61 |
| 6 |
Middlesbrough
|
35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | +19 | 60 |
| 7 |
Sheffield United
|
37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | +8 | 59 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | +11 | 58 |
| 9 |
Millwall
|
38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | +9 | 58 |
| 10 |
Preston
|
37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | +9 | 57 |
| 11 |
Brentford
|
37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | +8 | 53 |
| 12 |
Ipswich
|
37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | +0 | 52 |
| 13 |
Leeds
|
37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 |
Norwich
|
37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 |
QPR
|
38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | -10 | 47 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 |
Hull
|
37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | -3 | 39 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Weds
|
37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
| 19 |
Reading
|
37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | -12 | 36 |
| 20 |
Bolton
|
37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | -24 | 36 |
| 21 |
Barnsley
|
38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -19 | 33 |
| 22 |
Birmingham
|
37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -32 | 30 |
| 23 |
Burton Albion
|
37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -38 | 30 |
| 24 |
Sunderland
|
37 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -28 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Clarke-Salter
D
J. Asoro
F
J. Maja
F
Coach: C. Coleman
B. Davies
D
B. Pearson
M
A. Browne
M
C. Robinson
M
Coach: A. Neil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
QPR
Sunderland
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Millwall
Sunderland
Sunderland
Middlesbrough
Bolton
Sunderland
Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.