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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Stoke
T U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Coventry
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,95 xG 0,74
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stoke Coventry
3′
🟨 Luis Binks
Half-time 0–0
N. Ennis 🔁
↦ E. Tezgel
60′
62′
🔁 J. Eccles
↦ E. Mason-Clark
62′
🔁 H. Wright
↦ E. Simms
63′
🔁 B. Thomas-Asante
↦ V. Torp
Jordan Thompson 🟨
69′
L. Baker 🔁
↦ W. Burger
76′
1–0 L. Baker
M. Manhoef
78′
82′
🔁 K. Palmer
↦ T. Sakamoto
D. Johnson 🔁
↦ M. Manhoef
86′
Josh Laurent 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Stoke

4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson G
22 J. Tchamadeu D
16 B. Wilmot D
23 B. Gibson D
17 E. Bocat D
28 J. Laurent M
15 J. Thompson M
42 M. Manhoef M
6 W. Burger M
2 L. Gooch M
37 E. Tezgel F
Bench (9)
14 N. Ennis
8 L. Baker
12 D. Johnson
41 J. Dixon
7 André Vidigal
19 R. Mmaee
30 S. Sidibe
43 F. Anderson
34 F. Fielding

Coach: S. Schumacher

Coventry

4-3-3
1 O. Dovin G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 B. Thomas D
2 L. Binks D
21 J. Bidwell D
5 J. Rudoni M
8 J. Allen M
29 V. Torp M
7 T. Sakamoto F
9 E. Simms F
10 E. Mason-Clark F
Bench (9)
28 J. Eccles
11 H. Wright
23 B. Thomas-Asante
45 K. Palmer
22 J. Latibeaudiere
30 Fábio Tavares
13 B. Wilson
3 J. Dasilva
54 K. Andrews

Coach: M. Robins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,51
B
2,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.