Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Blackburn
Sheffield Weds
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leicester
|
43 | 29 | 4 | 10 | +42 | +34.7 | 91 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | +32 | +24.7 | 89 |
| 3 |
Leeds
|
41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | +40 | +35.8 | 81 |
| 4 |
Southampton
|
41 | 23 | 9 | 9 | +26 | +32.2 | 78 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | +26 | +7.2 | 72 |
| 6 |
Norwich
|
42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | +18 | -0.4 | 72 |
| 7 |
Hull
|
43 | 18 | 12 | 13 | +8 | +6.2 | 66 |
| 8 |
Coventry
|
42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | +14 | +11.1 | 63 |
| 9 |
Middlesbrough
|
43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | +5 | +12.5 | 63 |
| 10 |
Preston
|
44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | -5 | -13.6 | 63 |
| 11 |
Cardiff
|
44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | -11 | -24.8 | 62 |
| 12 |
Bristol City
|
44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | +4 | -1.4 | 59 |
| 13 |
Sunderland
|
44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | +1 | +7.6 | 56 |
| 14 |
Swansea
|
44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | -5 | -5.6 | 56 |
| 15 |
Watford
|
44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | +1 | -1.7 | 53 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | -12 | -11.2 | 53 |
| 17 |
Stoke
|
44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | -16 | -3.3 | 50 |
| 18 |
QPR
|
44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | -16 | -4.2 | 50 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | -14 | -8.7 | 49 |
| 20 |
Plymouth
|
44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | -11 | -21.0 | 48 |
| 21 |
Birmingham
|
44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | -16 | -8.6 | 46 |
| 22 |
Huddersfield
|
44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | -27 | -13.0 | 44 |
| 23 |
Sheffield Weds
|
43 | 12 | 8 | 23 | -31 | -9.1 | 44 |
| 24 |
Rotherham
|
44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | -53 | -45.4 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Pears
G
H. Carter
D
D. Hyam
D
C. Brittain
M
J. Rankin-Costello
M
H. Pickering
M
S. Szmodics
F
S. Gallagher
F
T. Dolan
F
Coach: J. Eustace
J. Beadle
G
A. Famewo
D
Pol Valentín
M
A. Musaba
F
J. Windass
F
Coach: N. Thompson
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Leeds
Blackburn
Bristol City
Blackburn
Blackburn
Southampton
Sunderland
Blackburn
Blackburn
Ipswich
J Smith · 138 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.