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Championship
Referee: Ben Toner
Preston
U T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Coventry
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 55%
42%
68%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
42%
74%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
2,4
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,29 xG 1,95
31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 7
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 5. · Coventry 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 19 13 4 2 +29 +18.5 43
2 Millwall 19 10 4 5 -2 +3.3 34
3 Middlesbrough 17 9 5 3 +5 +3.3 32
4 Ipswich 19 8 7 4 +14 +15.4 31
5 Preston 19 8 7 4 +6 -2.1 31
6 Stoke 19 9 3 7 +8 -2.6 30
7 Bristol City 19 8 5 6 +5 +2.0 29
8 Birmingham 19 8 4 7 +5 +12.0 28
9 Hull 18 8 4 6 +0 -11.1 28
10 QPR 19 8 4 7 -4 +2.2 28
11 Wrexham 19 6 9 4 +3 -4.8 27
12 Watford 19 7 6 6 +2 +3.2 27
13 Leicester 19 7 6 6 +1 -3.6 27
14 Southampton 18 7 5 6 +5 +8.6 26
15 Derby 19 7 5 7 -2 -6.4 26
16 West Brom 19 7 4 8 -4 +0.4 25
17 Charlton 18 6 5 7 -5 -8.3 23
18 Sheffield United 19 7 1 11 -4 +5.9 22
19 Blackburn 18 6 3 9 -5 +4.3 21
20 Swansea 19 5 5 9 -7 -9.6 20
21 Oxford 19 4 6 9 -7 -4.7 18
22 Portsmouth 18 4 5 9 -10 -6.8 17
23 Norwich 19 3 4 12 -11 -6.7 13
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 5 12 -22 -12.2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Coventry
31′
🔁 V. Torp
↦ J. Eccles
Liam Lindsay 🟥
39′
Daniel Jebbison 🟨
43′
P. Valentin 🔁
↦ L. Dobbin
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Mason-Clark
↦ L. Woolfenden
70′
A. Hughes 1–0
own goal
A. Devine 🔁
↦ H. Armstrong
75′
S. T. Thordarson 🔁
↦ J. Thompson
75′
M. Smith 🔁
↦ T. Small
75′
2–0 D. Jebbison
P. Valentin
76′
79′
🔁 E. Simms
↦ H. Wright
A. Vukcevic 🔁
↦ D. Jebbison
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Preston

3-4-1-2
1 D. Iversen G
14 J. Storey D
6 L. Lindsay D
16 A. Hughes D
42 O. Offiah M
5 H. Armstrong M
15 J. Thompson M
26 T. Small M
4 B. Whiteman F
17 L. Dobbin F
9 D. Jebbison F
Bench (9)
12 J. Walton
2 P. Valentin
3 A. Vukcevic
21 A. Devine
22 S. T. Thordarson
35 N. Mawene
44 B. Potts
7 W. Keane
24 M. Smith

Coach: Paul Heckingbottom

Coventry

5-4-1
19 C. Rushworth G
20 K. Kesler-Hayden D
4 B. Thomas D
26 L. Woolfenden D
15 L. Kitching D
3 J. Dasilva D
7 T. Sakamoto M
28 J. Eccles M
6 M. Grimes M
5 J. Rudoni M
11 H. Wright F
Bench (9)
13 B. Wilson
8 J. Allen
9 E. Simms
10 E. Mason-Clark
21 J. Bidwell
22 J. Latibeaudiere
29 V. Torp
33 M. Brau
54 K. Andrews

Coach: Frank Lampard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,74
U ✓
3,58
B
1,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ben Toner · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.