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Championship
Referee: W Finnie
Coventry
S S S T T
1–0
Full-time
QPR
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,43 xG 0,84
59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 9
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 14. · QPR 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 31 19 9 3 +43 +39.5 66
2 Burnley 31 16 13 2 +28 +7.7 61
3 Sheffield United 29 18 6 5 +19 +10.7 60
4 Sunderland 29 16 10 3 +20 +11.1 58
5 West Brom 31 11 14 6 +13 +6.8 47
6 Blackburn 31 13 6 12 +4 -0.2 45
7 Middlesbrough 30 12 8 10 +10 +14.5 44
8 Norwich 31 11 10 10 +7 +7.7 43
9 Bristol City 30 10 12 8 +3 +4.0 42
10 Watford 31 12 6 13 -2 -9.4 42
11 Sheffield Weds 31 11 9 11 -4 -3.3 42
12 QPR 31 10 11 10 -5 -4.5 41
13 Millwall 30 10 10 10 +3 +5.6 40
14 Coventry 30 11 7 12 +1 +15.9 40
15 Preston 30 8 13 9 -5 -0.8 37
16 Swansea 31 10 7 14 -9 -2.2 37
17 Oxford 31 9 10 12 -11 -14.3 37
18 Stoke 30 7 11 12 -9 -15.9 32
19 Cardiff 30 7 10 13 -18 -14.4 31
20 Portsmouth 31 7 9 15 -17 -12.5 30
21 Hull 30 7 8 15 -9 -4.2 29
22 Derby 31 7 7 17 -9 -6.3 28
23 Luton 30 7 6 17 -19 -5.8 27
24 Plymouth 30 5 10 15 -34 -29.5 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry QPR
Liam Kitching 🟨
11′
25′
🟨 Kenneth Paal
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 A. Lloyd
↦ M. Frey
60′
🔁 J. Varane
↦ J. Colback
Matt Grimes 🟨
62′
J. Eccles 🔁
↦ L. Kitching
64′
B. Thomas-Asante 🔁
↦ E. Simms
64′
71′
🔁 Yang Min-Hyeok
↦ P. Smyth
E. Mason-Clark 🔁
↦ V. Torp
74′
81′
🔁 K. Morgan
↦ K. Saito
Ephron Mason-Clark 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Jimmy Dunne
1–0 B. Thomas
J. Rudoni
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Coventry

3-4-2-1
1 O. Dovin G
4 B. Thomas D
2 L. Binks D
15 L. Kitching D
27 M. van Ewijk M
29 V. Torp M
6 M. Grimes M
3 J. Dasilva M
7 T. Sakamoto F
5 J. Rudoni F
9 E. Simms F
Bench (9)
28 J. Eccles
23 B. Thomas-Asante
10 E. Mason-Clark
21 J. Bidwell
17 R. Borges Rodrigues
40 B. Collins
8 J. Allen
22 J. Latibeaudiere
37 N. Bassette

Coach: F. Lampard

QPR

4-1-4-1
1 P. Nardi G
3 J. Dunne D
5 S. Cook D
17 R. Edwards D
22 K. Paal D
4 J. Colback M
11 P. Smyth M
8 S. Field M
10 I. Chair M
14 K. Saito M
12 M. Frey F
Bench (9)
28 A. Lloyd
40 J. Varane
47 Yang Min-Hyeok
21 K. Morgan
16 L. Morrison
24 N. Madsen
20 H. Ashby
15 M. Fox
13 J. Walsh

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,56
B
4,21
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Finnie · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.