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Serie B

Referee: M Marchetti

Spezia

S T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Catanzaro

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 39/40 matches

Win Ø 38%

46%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

41%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Spezia 3. · Catanzaro 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	38	25	7	6	+40	82
2	Pisa	38	22	8	8	+25	74
3	Spezia	39	18	15	6	+28	69
4	Cremonese	40	17	13	10	+20	64
5	Juve Stabia	41	16	13	12	+0	61
6	Catanzaro	40	12	20	8	+5	56
7	Cesena	39	14	11	14	-2	53
8	Palermo	39	14	10	15	+8	52
9	Bari	38	10	18	10	+1	48
10	Sudtirol	38	12	10	16	-7	46
11	Modena	38	10	15	13	-2	45
12	Carrarese	38	11	12	15	-10	45
13	Mantova	38	10	14	14	-9	44
14	Reggiana	38	11	11	16	-10	44
15	Brescia	38	9	16	13	-6	43
16	Frosinone	38	9	16	13	-13	43
17	Salernitana	38	11	9	18	-10	42
18	Sampdoria	38	8	17	13	-11	41
19	Cittadella	38	10	10	18	-23	40
20	Cosenza	38	7	13	18	-24	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	14	2	3	+26	44
2	Pisa	19	13	4	2	+19	43
3	Spezia	19	12	4	3	+19	40
4	Juve Stabia	21	12	4	5	+9	40
5	Carrarese	19	10	5	4	+6	35
6	Catanzaro	21	8	9	4	+9	33
7	Cremonese	20	8	8	4	+10	32
8	Cesena	19	8	7	4	+6	31
9	Salernitana	19	9	4	6	+5	31
10	Mantova	19	8	7	4	+5	31
11	Bari	19	7	9	3	+5	30
12	Palermo	19	8	5	6	+7	29
13	Modena	19	6	8	5	+3	26
14	Sudtirol	19	6	7	6	-2	25
15	Sampdoria	19	6	7	6	-2	25
16	Reggiana	19	6	6	7	-2	24
17	Frosinone	19	4	10	5	-6	22
18	Cosenza	19	5	7	7	-7	22
19	Brescia	19	4	9	6	-1	21
20	Cittadella	19	3	7	9	-11	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	11	5	3	+14	38
2	Cremonese	20	9	5	6	+10	32
3	Pisa	19	9	4	6	+6	31
4	Spezia	20	6	11	3	+9	29
5	Cittadella	19	7	3	9	-12	24
6	Palermo	20	6	5	9	+1	23
7	Catanzaro	19	4	11	4	-4	23
8	Brescia	19	5	7	7	-5	22
9	Cesena	20	6	4	10	-8	22
10	Sudtirol	19	6	3	10	-5	21
11	Frosinone	19	5	6	8	-7	21
12	Juve Stabia	20	4	9	7	-9	21
13	Reggiana	19	5	5	9	-8	20
14	Modena	19	4	7	8	-5	19
15	Bari	19	3	9	7	-4	18
16	Sampdoria	19	2	10	7	-9	16
17	Mantova	19	2	7	10	-14	13
18	Cosenza	19	2	6	11	-17	12
19	Salernitana	19	2	5	12	-15	11
20	Carrarese	19	1	7	11	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.