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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Eldense
T U T S U
3–3
Full-time
Santander
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eldense Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 38%
28%
48%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eldense 19. · Santander 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Mirandes 40 21 8 11 +17 71
4 Oviedo 40 19 12 9 +12 69
5 Santander 40 19 10 11 +13 67
6 Almeria 40 18 11 11 +15 65
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Albacete 41 15 12 14 +0 57
10 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
11 Cordoba 40 14 12 14 -1 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 40 13 13 14 -1 52
15 Malaga 40 12 16 12 -2 52
16 Castellon 40 13 11 16 +0 50
17 Sp Gijon 40 12 14 14 +0 50
18 Zaragoza 40 12 12 16 -5 48
19 Eldense 40 11 11 18 -18 44
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 41 6 12 23 -40 30
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eldense Santander
-5′
🟨 Pablo Rodríguez
David Timor 🟨
10′
11′
🟨 Alvaro Mantilla
1–0 D. Đumić
19′
Iván Martos 🟨
31′
Javi Llabrés 🟨
36′
41′
Jon Karrikaburu 1–1
Aritz Aldasoro
Half-time 1–1
Nacho Quintana 🔁
↦ S. Gassama
54′
2–1 Diego Collado
Iván Martos
55′
Nacho Monsalve 🔁
↦ David Timor
64′
65′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
65′
🔁 Juan Carlos Arana
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
65′
🔁 Iñigo Vicente
↦ Róber
Iván Chapela 🔁
↦ Javi Llabrés
75′
Diego Méndez 🔁
↦ Diego Collado
75′
Fran Gámez 🟨
80′
80′
ℹ️ Mario Garcia
VAR: Penalty confirmed
82′
Andrés Martín 2–2
83′
🔁 J. Arévalo
↦ Víctor Meseguer
86′
🟨 Marco Sangalli
M. Diouri 🔁
↦ Iván Martos
87′
Fede Vico 🔁
↦ Fran Gámez
87′
96′
🟨 Juan Carlos Arana
96′
Juan Carlos Arana 2–3
Andrés Martín
99′
🔁 Unai Vencedor
↦ C. Michelin
102′
🔁 Ekain Zenitagoia
↦ Andrés Martín
3–3 Iván Chapela 4
Fede Vico
104′
Simo Bouzaidi 🟨
106′
Amadou Diawara 🟨
106′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Eldense

4-1-4-1
1 Dani Martín G
15 Fran Gámez D
4 D. Đumić D
24 David Timor D
3 Iván Martos D
12 A. Diawara M
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
10 Javi Llabrés M
25 Diego Collado M
22 S. Gassama F
Bench (10)
9 Nacho Quintana
14 Nacho Monsalve
20 Iván Chapela
28 Diego Méndez
7 M. Diouri
19 Fede Vico
36 Álvaro Aceves
21 Álex Bernal
2 Raúl Parra
13 Ian Mackay

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
17 C. Michelin D
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
5 Javi Castro D
40 Mario García D
23 Víctor Meseguer M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
15 Marco Sangalli M
11 Andrés Martín M
16 Róber M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (12)
12 M. Gueye
9 Juan Carlos Arana
10 Iñigo Vicente
29 J. Arévalo
21 Unai Vencedor
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
24 Javi Montero
4 Pol Moreno
22 Pablo Rodríguez
3 Saúl García
1 Miquel Parera
18 Manu Hernando

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,56
B
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.