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Serie B
Referee: M Guida
Reggiana
T T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Spezia
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 36%
26%
46%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
37%
Both score Ø 47%
51%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 16. · Spezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 35 25 6 4 +43 81
2 Pisa 35 21 7 7 +25 70
3 Spezia 35 16 15 4 +26 63
4 Cremonese 35 15 12 8 +18 57
5 Juve Stabia 35 14 11 10 +2 53
6 Palermo 35 13 9 13 +8 48
7 Catanzaro 35 10 18 7 +4 48
8 Bari 35 9 17 9 +2 44
9 Modena 35 10 14 11 +0 44
10 Cesena 35 11 11 13 -4 44
11 Sudtirol 35 11 8 16 -8 41
12 Carrarese 35 10 11 14 -10 41
13 Mantova 35 9 13 13 -8 40
14 Frosinone 35 8 15 12 -12 39
15 Brescia 35 8 14 13 -7 38
16 Reggiana 35 9 11 15 -11 38
17 Sampdoria 35 7 15 13 -12 36
18 Salernitana 35 9 9 17 -13 36
19 Cittadella 35 9 9 17 -23 36
20 Cosenza 35 7 13 15 -20 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Spezia
11′
🟨 Luca Vignali
15′
G. Lapadula 0–1
29′
🟨 Salvatore Elia
1–1 M. Portanova
R. Fiamozzi
40′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 C. Gondo
L. Libutti
51′
58′
🔁 A. Matějů
↦ L. Vignali
58′
🔁 R. Kouda
↦ F. Cassata
A. Sersanti 🔁
↦ L. Ignacchiti
62′
N. Girma 🔁
↦ A. Vergara
62′
69′
🔁 P. Candelari
↦ S. Elia
69′
🔁 A. Čolak
↦ G. Lapadula
J. Kumi 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
72′
75′
🟨 Francesco Pio Esposito
77′
🔁 G. Di Serio
↦ Á. Nagy
A. Meroni 🔁
↦ M. Marras
84′
Alessandro Sersanti 🟨
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Reggiana

3-5-2
22 F. Bardi G
17 L. Libutti D
4 P. Rozzio D
44 L. Lucchesi D
15 R. Fiamozzi M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
16 T. Reinhart M
90 M. Portanova M
7 M. Marras M
30 A. Vergara F
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (12)
5 A. Sersanti
80 N. Girma
55 J. Kumi
13 A. Meroni
21 M. Destro
1 E. Motta
3 J. Sosa
27 M. Maggio
99 A. Sposito
77 E. Kabashi
87 Y. Nahounou
6 L. Štulac

Coach: D. Dionigi

Spezia

3-5-2
66 S. Gori G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
32 L. Vignali D
7 S. Elia M
8 Á. Nagy M
5 S. Esposito M
29 F. Cassata M
31 G. Aurelio M
10 G. Lapadula F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (11)
37 A. Matějů
80 R. Kouda
36 P. Candelari
17 A. Čolak
20 G. Di Serio
11 D. Falcinelli
65 S. Giorgeschi
23 L. Chichizola
82 H. Djankpata
25 F. Bandinelli
4 Salvador Ferrer

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,46
U
2,84
B
2,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.