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Serie B
Referee: G Ayroldi
Catanzaro
T U U T T
2–2
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
49%
40%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
51%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 23
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 7. · Sampdoria 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 35 25 6 4 +43 81
2 Pisa 35 21 7 7 +25 70
3 Spezia 35 16 15 4 +26 63
4 Cremonese 35 15 12 8 +18 57
5 Juve Stabia 35 14 11 10 +2 53
6 Palermo 35 13 9 13 +8 48
7 Catanzaro 35 10 18 7 +4 48
8 Bari 35 9 17 9 +2 44
9 Modena 35 10 14 11 +0 44
10 Cesena 35 11 11 13 -4 44
11 Sudtirol 35 11 8 16 -8 41
12 Carrarese 35 10 11 14 -10 41
13 Mantova 35 9 13 13 -8 40
14 Frosinone 35 8 15 12 -12 39
15 Brescia 35 8 14 13 -7 38
16 Reggiana 35 9 11 15 -11 38
17 Sampdoria 35 7 15 13 -12 36
18 Salernitana 35 9 9 17 -13 36
19 Cittadella 35 9 9 17 -23 36
20 Cosenza 35 7 13 15 -20 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Sampdoria
23′
F. Depaoli 0–1
R. Vieira
Giacomo Quagliata 🟨
34′
35′
🟨 Lorenzo Venuti
1–1 N. Brighenti
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Biasci
N. Brighenti
47′
48′
🟨 Gerard Yepes
Pietro Iemmello 🟨
49′
50′
M. Coda 2–2
Gerard Yepes
M. Compagnon 🔁
↦ M. Šitum
57′
R. Ilie 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
57′
58′
🔁 B. Bereszyński
↦ L. Venuti
59′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ F. Borini
Marco Pompetti 🟨
60′
Marco Pompetti 🟨
63′
Marco Pompetti 🟥
63′
67′
🔁 L. Benedetti
↦ R. Vieira
F. Pittarello 🔁
↦ T. Biasci
75′
79′
🔁 E. Akinsanmiro
↦ Gerard Yepes
79′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ M. Coda
T. Cassandro 🔁
↦ G. Quagliata
82′
S. Scognamillo 🔁
↦ N. Brighenti
82′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Catanzaro

3-5-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
23 N. Brighenti D
4 Matias Antonini D
6 F. Bonini D
92 M. Šitum M
21 M. Pompetti M
10 J. Petriccione M
20 S. Pontisso M
3 G. Quagliata M
28 T. Biasci F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (12)
7 M. Compagnon
8 R. Ilie
90 F. Pittarello
84 T. Cassandro
14 S. Scognamillo
70 M. D'Alessandro
25 L. Gelmi
19 A. La Mantia
29 D. Seck
82 C. Corradi
45 N. Buso
80 M. Coulibaly

Coach: F. Caserta

Sampdoria

3-5-2
94 A. Cragno G
2 M. Curto D
26 G. Altare D
5 A. Riccio D
23 F. Depaoli M
4 R. Vieira M
28 Gerard Yepes M
33 G. Sibilli M
18 L. Venuti M
9 M. Coda F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (12)
24 B. Bereszyński
19 M. Niang
80 L. Benedetti
15 E. Akinsanmiro
90 F. Abiuso
20 R. Oudin
22 S. Ghidotti
25 A. Ferrari
7 A. Bellemo
17 M. Meulensteen
77 N. Chiorra
84 N. Sekulov

Coach: A. Evani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,30
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.