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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Midtjylland

T S S U S

3–2

Full-time

Randers FC

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Randers FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 50%

58%

42%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

61%

Both score Ø 67%

65%

68%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

4 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Randers FC 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	31	17	9	5	+24	+14.1	60
2	Midtjylland	31	18	5	8	+21	+5.3	59
3	Silkeborg	32	13	10	9	+15	+7.4	49
4	Brondby	31	12	12	7	+11	+9.6	48
5	Randers FC	31	13	9	9	+8	+4.6	48
6	Viborg	32	12	11	9	+7	-2.5	47
7	Nordsjaelland	31	13	7	11	+0	+7.2	46
8	Aarhus	31	10	10	11	+8	+9.7	40
9	Sonderjyske	32	10	7	15	-17	-14.7	37
10	Vejle	32	7	7	18	-27	-13.0	28
11	Lyngby	32	5	12	15	-17	-5.7	27
12	Aalborg	32	5	9	18	-33	-21.9	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	13	0	2	+18	+7.5	39
2	Nordsjaelland	16	10	5	1	+17	+7.4	35
3	FC Copenhagen	15	9	5	1	+13	+10.2	32
4	Viborg	16	9	3	4	+6	-1.6	30
5	Randers FC	16	8	4	4	+7	+4.8	28
6	Aarhus	15	7	6	2	+14	+10.9	27
7	Brondby	16	7	6	3	+6	+7.7	27
8	Silkeborg	16	7	5	4	+7	+3.9	26
9	Sonderjyske	16	5	5	6	-8	-10.3	20
10	Lyngby	16	4	6	6	-4	+1.3	18
11	Vejle	16	3	5	8	-13	-1.6	14
12	Aalborg	16	3	4	9	-16	-10.5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	16	8	4	4	+11	+3.9	28
2	Silkeborg	16	6	5	5	+8	+3.5	23
3	Brondby	15	5	6	4	+5	+1.9	21
4	Midtjylland	16	5	5	6	+3	-2.2	20
5	Randers FC	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.2	20
6	Viborg	16	3	8	5	+1	-0.9	17
7	Sonderjyske	16	5	2	9	-9	-4.4	17
8	Vejle	16	4	2	10	-14	-11.4	14
9	Aarhus	16	3	4	9	-6	-1.2	13
10	Nordsjaelland	15	3	2	10	-17	-0.2	11
11	Aalborg	16	2	5	9	-17	-11.4	11
12	Lyngby	16	1	6	9	-13	-7.1	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.