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Pro League

Referee: B Van Driessche

Genk

U T T T S

2–1

Full-time

Anderlecht

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 57%

62%

52%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

62%

48%

Both score Ø 49%

59%

38%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,71 xG 1,19

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 3. · Anderlecht 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	20	6	3	+41	+38.5	66
2	St. Gilloise	29	19	7	3	+35	+28.7	64
3	Genk	29	18	4	7	+20	+16.7	58
4	Anderlecht	29	15	6	8	+25	+5.9	51
5	Antwerp	28	12	10	6	+13	-4.7	46
6	Charleroi	29	12	9	8	+8	+4.9	45
7	Cercle Brugge	32	10	9	13	-13	-1.6	39
8	Dender	30	9	11	10	-6	-13.0	38
9	Westerlo	30	9	9	12	+1	+2.8	36
10	Gent	29	9	8	12	-12	-11.9	35
11	Standard	30	7	12	11	-15	-12.2	33
12	Mechelen	30	7	11	12	-5	+4.9	32
13	St Truiden	30	7	8	15	-23	-6.5	29
14	Kortrijk	30	8	4	18	-23	-17.2	28
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	4	14	12	-15	-8.8	26
16	Beerschot VA	30	4	8	18	-25	-26.4	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	11	1	2	+20	+19.5	34
2	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
3	Genk	14	10	1	3	+15	+14.8	31
4	Charleroi	15	9	3	3	+12	+7.3	30
5	Cercle Brugge	16	7	5	4	+0	+5.2	26
6	Anderlecht	15	7	4	4	+15	+3.3	25
7	Westerlo	15	5	6	4	+8	+12.9	21
8	Antwerp	14	6	3	5	+8	+2.3	21
9	Dender	15	5	6	4	+6	-1.6	21
10	St Truiden	15	5	6	4	-2	+1.7	21
11	Gent	15	6	2	7	-1	-2.4	20
12	Standard	15	5	5	5	-1	-2.2	20
13	Mechelen	15	4	7	4	+6	+9.3	19
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	9	3	+1	-0.3	18
15	Beerschot VA	15	4	6	5	-2	-10.2	18
16	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-6	-4.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+18	+15.7	34
2	St. Gilloise	15	8	6	1	+15	+9.2	30
3	Genk	15	8	3	4	+5	+1.9	27
4	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
5	Antwerp	14	6	7	1	+5	-7.0	25
6	Dender	15	4	5	6	-12	-11.4	17
7	Charleroi	14	3	6	5	-4	-2.4	15
8	Westerlo	15	4	3	8	-7	-10.1	15
9	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
10	Mechelen	15	3	4	8	-11	-4.5	13
11	Cercle Brugge	16	3	4	9	-13	-6.8	13
12	Standard	15	2	7	6	-14	-9.9	13
13	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	1	5	9	-16	-8.4	8
15	St Truiden	15	2	2	11	-21	-8.2	8
16	Beerschot VA	15	0	2	13	-23	-16.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.