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Eliteserien

Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner

Sandefjord

S S T S T

3–2

Full-time

Stromsgodset

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

57%

29%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

71%

86%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,92 xG 0,69

46% Possession 54%

23 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 10

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sandefjord 8. · Stromsgodset 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	6	2	1	+14	+12.1	20
2	Rosenborg	9	5	3	1	+4	+7.8	18
3	Brann	8	5	2	1	+4	+6.7	17
4	Fredrikstad	8	5	1	2	+7	-2.7	16
5	Bodo/Glimt	6	4	1	1	+10	+6.0	13
6	Kristiansund	9	4	1	4	-2	-3.5	13
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	3	1	+7	+4.1	12
8	Sandefjord	7	4	0	3	+1	-1.6	12
9	Tromso	7	3	1	3	+0	+1.8	10
10	Bryne	8	3	0	5	-4	-0.3	9
11	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.4	8
12	Molde	8	2	2	4	-3	+2.2	8
13	Ham-Kam	8	2	2	4	-10	-7.7	8
14	Stromsgodset	7	2	0	5	+0	-1.6	6
15	KFUM Oslo	7	1	1	5	-8	-4.2	4
16	Haugesund	8	0	1	7	-17	-18.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	+8.1	14
2	Fredrikstad	4	4	0	0	+8	-1.2	12
3	Rosenborg	5	3	2	0	+5	+8.1	11
4	Brann	5	3	2	0	+4	+3.9	11
5	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+10	+4.7	9
6	Sandefjord	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.6	9
7	Ham-Kam	4	2	1	1	-1	-1.8	7
8	Tromso	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.4	6
9	Bryne	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.9	6
10	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+3	+2.6	4
11	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.3	4
12	Molde	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.9	4
13	KFUM Oslo	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.0	3
14	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.4	3
15	Haugesund	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.9	1
16	Stromsgodset	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Kristiansund	6	3	1	2	+0	-3.9	10
2	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.5	8
3	Rosenborg	4	2	1	1	-1	-0.3	7
4	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	+5	+0.6	6
5	Viking	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.0	6
6	Brann	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.8	6
7	Tromso	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
8	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.3	4
9	Molde	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.8	4
10	Fredrikstad	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
11	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
12	Bryne	4	1	0	3	-3	-3.2	3
13	Sandefjord	4	1	0	3	-5	-2.2	3
14	KFUM Oslo	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.1	1
15	Ham-Kam	4	0	1	3	-9	-6.0	1
16	Haugesund	5	0	0	5	-9	-14.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.