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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Leeds
U S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Coventry
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 42%
55%
29%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
50%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,34 xG 0,48
64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 3. · Coventry 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 21 17 1 3 +27 +16.4 52
2 Ipswich 22 16 4 2 +19 +12.1 52
3 Leeds 20 11 5 4 +14 +15.3 38
4 Southampton 20 10 6 4 +3 +7.6 36
5 West Brom 20 10 5 5 +13 +2.8 35
6 Sunderland 21 10 3 8 +9 +13.3 33
7 Hull 21 9 6 6 +4 +5.2 33
8 Preston 21 9 5 7 -6 -8.2 32
9 Norwich 21 9 4 8 +1 -3.3 31
10 Blackburn 21 10 1 10 +0 +2.1 31
11 Cardiff 21 9 3 9 +4 -5.6 30
12 Watford 21 7 7 7 +4 +1.9 28
13 Middlesbrough 21 8 3 10 -1 +9.3 27
14 Coventry 21 6 8 7 +3 +7.1 26
15 Bristol City 21 7 5 9 -2 +1.5 26
16 Birmingham 21 7 5 9 -5 -2.1 26
17 Swansea 21 6 7 8 +0 -6.4 25
18 Plymouth 21 6 5 10 -2 -11.4 23
19 Stoke 21 6 4 11 -9 -1.1 22
20 Millwall 21 5 6 10 -7 -7.5 21
21 Huddersfield 21 4 9 8 -15 -11.3 21
22 QPR 21 5 5 11 -11 -8.1 20
23 Sheffield Weds 21 3 4 14 -20 -6.6 13
24 Rotherham 21 2 7 12 -23 -23.2 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Coventry
Half-time 0–0
Crysencio Summerville 🟨
50′
1–0 C. Summerville
G. Rutter
58′
Illan Meslier 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Ellis Simms
66′
B. Thomas 1–1
T. Sakamoto
67′
🔁 H. Wright
↦ J. Bidwell
67′
🔁 C. O'Hare
↦ T. Sakamoto
Ethan Ampadu 🟨
75′
P. Bamford 🔁
↦ G. Kamara
78′
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ D. Spence
78′
79′
🔁 K. Palmer
↦ E. Simms
79′
🔁 J. Allen
↦ M. van Ewijk
82′
🟨 Bradley Collins
J. Gelhardt 🔁
↦ J. Piroe
85′
88′
🟨 Kasey Palmer
88′
🟨 Josh Eccles
97′
🟨 Ben Sheaf
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 I. Meslier G
22 A. Gray D
14 J. Rodon D
21 P. Struijk D
39 D. Spence D
4 E. Ampadu M
8 G. Kamara M
20 D. James M
7 J. Piroe M
10 C. Summerville M
24 G. Rutter F
Bench (9)
9 P. Bamford
29 W. Gnonto
30 J. Gelhardt
49 M. Joseph
12 J. Anthony
6 L. Cooper
44 I. Gruev
28 K. Darlow
2 L. Ayling

Coach: D. Farke

Coventry

4-1-4-1
40 B. Collins G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 B. Thomas D
15 L. Kitching D
21 J. Bidwell D
22 J. Latibeaudiere M
7 T. Sakamoto M
28 J. Eccles M
14 B. Sheaf M
3 J. Dasilva M
9 E. Simms F
Bench (9)
11 H. Wright
10 C. O'Hare
45 K. Palmer
8 J. Allen
24 M. Godden
2 L. Binks
13 B. Wilson
5 K. McFadzean
26 Y. Ayari

Coach: M. Robins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U ✓
4,38
B
5,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.