Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Leeds
Coventry
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leicester
|
21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | +27 | +16.4 | 52 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | +19 | +12.1 | 52 |
| 3 |
Leeds
|
20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | +14 | +15.3 | 38 |
| 4 |
Southampton
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +3 | +7.6 | 36 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +13 | +2.8 | 35 |
| 6 |
Sunderland
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +9 | +13.3 | 33 |
| 7 |
Hull
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +4 | +5.2 | 33 |
| 8 |
Preston
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | -6 | -8.2 | 32 |
| 9 |
Norwich
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +1 | -3.3 | 31 |
| 10 |
Blackburn
|
21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | +0 | +2.1 | 31 |
| 11 |
Cardiff
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | +4 | -5.6 | 30 |
| 12 |
Watford
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +4 | +1.9 | 28 |
| 13 |
Middlesbrough
|
21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | -1 | +9.3 | 27 |
| 14 |
Coventry
|
21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | +3 | +7.1 | 26 |
| 15 |
Bristol City
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -2 | +1.5 | 26 |
| 16 |
Birmingham
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -5 | -2.1 | 26 |
| 17 |
Swansea
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | +0 | -6.4 | 25 |
| 18 |
Plymouth
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -2 | -11.4 | 23 |
| 19 |
Stoke
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -9 | -1.1 | 22 |
| 20 |
Millwall
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -7 | -7.5 | 21 |
| 21 |
Huddersfield
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -15 | -11.3 | 21 |
| 22 |
QPR
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -11 | -8.1 | 20 |
| 23 |
Sheffield Weds
|
21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -20 | -6.6 | 13 |
| 24 |
Rotherham
|
21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -23 | -23.2 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Meslier
G
A. Gray
D
J. Rodon
D
P. Struijk
D
E. Ampadu
M
G. Kamara
M
D. James
M
J. Piroe
M
G. Rutter
F
Coach: D. Farke
B. Collins
G
M. van Ewijk
D
B. Thomas
D
L. Kitching
D
J. Bidwell
D
J. Latibeaudiere
M
T. Sakamoto
M
J. Eccles
M
B. Sheaf
M
J. Dasilva
M
E. Simms
F
Coach: M. Robins
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sunderland
Leeds
Blackburn
Leeds
Leeds
Middlesbrough
Leeds
Swansea
Rotherham
Leeds
G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.