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Puchar Polski
Piast Gliwice
S U S S T
0–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Piast Gliwice 11. · Lech Poznan 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 4 3 0 1 +12 9
2 Avia Świdnik 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Gornik Zabrze 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Widzew Lodz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Rakow 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
11 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Lechia Gdansk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Slask Wroclaw 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
17 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
18 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Legnica 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Arka Gdynia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Pogon Szczecin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Gryf Słupsk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
35 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
39 Legia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
17′
🟨 T. Ouma
24′
🔁 G. Thordarson
↦ F. Jagiello
24′
🔁 A. Kozubal
↦ T. Ouma
44′
M. Ishak 0–1
J. Pereira
Half-time 0–1
P. Dziczek 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 J. Pereira
E. Jirka 🔁
↦ F. Borowski
58′
58′
🔁 L. Bengtsson
↦ A. Gholizadeh
58′
🔁 R. Gumny
↦ J. Pereira
I. Drapinski 🟨
62′
63′
🟨 P. Rodriguez
J. Lewicki 🔁
↦ L. Sanca
63′
H. Vallejo 🔁
↦ J. Felix
63′
G. Barkovskiy 🔁
↦ A. Dalmau
63′
68′
🔁 Y. Agnero
69′
Y. Agnero 0–2
M. Ishak
G. Tomasiewicz 🔁
↦ I. Drapinski
75′
J. Czerwinski 🟨
77′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

26 F. Plach
29 I. Drapinski
5 Juande
4 J. Czerwinski
28 F. Borowski
17 Q. Boisgard
10 P. Dziczek
6 M. Chrapek
7 J. Felix
9 A. Dalmau
11 L. Sanca
Bench (9)
33 K. Szymanski
15 L. Pitan
36 J. Lewicki
19 K. Lubowiecki
20 G. Tomasiewicz
77 E. Jirka
23 S. Mucha
80 H. Vallejo
63 G. Barkovskiy

Coach: Max Mölder

Lech Poznan

41 B. Mrozek
2 J. Pereira
27 W. Monka
72 M. Skrzypczak
15 M. Gurgul
99 P. Rodriguez
6 T. Ouma
24 F. Jagiello
8 A. Gholizadeh
9 M. Ishak
88 T. Ismaheel
Bench (9)
31 K. Bakowski
4 J. Moutinho
7 Y. Agnero
14 L. Bengtsson
20 R. Gumny
23 G. Thordarson
43 A. Kozubal
56 K. Lisman
77 L. Palma

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.