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Conference League
Referee: M Kapraly
Shkendija
T S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shkendija Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 32%
0%
63%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,56 xG 0,39
31% Possession 69%
7 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Shkendija Jagiellonia
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ A. Zejnullai
44′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Latifi ⚽
R. Webster
49′
Adamu Alhassan 🟨
50′
54′
🔁 A. Pozo
↦ L. Prip
54′
🔁 J. Imaz
↦ D. Drachal
54′
🔁 S. Lozano
↦ L. Flach
62′
🟨 Taras Romanczuk
B. Ibraimi 🔁
↦ L. Latifi
68′
K. Qaka 🔁
↦ A. Alhassan
68′
Besart Ibraimi 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 A. Jackson
↦ O. Pietuszewski
76′
🔁 B. Mazurek
↦ T. Romanczuk
85′
🟨 Jesús Imaz
Kamer Qaka 🟨
86′
M. Murati 🔁
↦ S. Spahiu
89′
A. Mazari 🔁
↦ F. Tamba
89′
90′
⚽ S. Lozano 1–1
A. Jackson
96′
🟨 Jesús Imaz
96′
🟥 Jesús Imaz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Shkendija

4-2-3-1
24 B. Gaye G
2 A. Trumci D
15 I. Fetai D
5 K. Cake D
11 R. Webster D
4 R. Ramadani M
6 A. Alhassan M
49 S. Spahiu M
17 A. Zejnullai M
77 L. Latifi M
29 F. Tamba F
Bench (12)
30 F. Ramani
3 E. Belica
7 B. Ibraimi
8 F. Ramadani
9 F. Ademi
10 E. Krasniqi
16 M. Murati
20 A. Mazari
22 N. Ajetovikj
26 A. Meliqi
27 L. Kaba
28 K. Qaka

Coach: Jeton Bekjiri

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
22 M. Piekutowski G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
3 D. Stojinovic D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
31 L. Flach M
18 L. Prip M
8 D. Drachal M
80 O. Pietuszewski M
10 A. Pululu F
Bench (12)
50 S. Abramowicz
66 A. Damasiewicz
4 Y. Kobayashi
5 C. Polak
7 A. Pozo
9 D. Rallis
11 J. Imaz
17 Y. Sylla
19 A. Cantero
21 S. Lozano
25 A. Jackson
86 B. Mazurek

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.