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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Jagiellonia
T U S U U
0–4
Full-time
Nieciecza
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Nieciecza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,00 xG 2,40
64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Jagiellonia Nieciecza
17′
K. Kubica 0–1
40′
ℹ️ Kamil Zapolnik
VAR: Penalty confirmed
42′
K. Zapolnik 0–2
45′
M. Fassbender 0–3
M. Ambrosiewicz
Half-time 0–3
61′
🔁 A. Trubeha
↦ K. Zapolnik
Jesús Imaz 🟨
62′
C. Polak 🔁
↦ B. Wdowik
62′
A. Pozo 🔁
↦ L. Prip
62′
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ L. Flach
62′
69′
🔁 R. Boboc
↦ I. Strzalek
69′
🔁 D. Biniek
↦ D. Hilbrycht
D. Rallis 🔁
↦ A. Pululu
70′
75′
K. Kubica 0–4
G. Isik
A. Cantero 🔁
↦ O. Pietuszewski
76′
87′
🔁 W. Jakubik
↦ M. Fassbender
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-1-3-2
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
3 D. Stojinovic D
4 Y. Kobayashi D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
18 L. Prip M
31 L. Flach M
80 O. Pietuszewski M
11 J. Imaz F
10 A. Pululu F
Bench (12)
22 M. Piekutowski
5 C. Polak
13 B. Vital
17 A. Dieguez
82 T. Costa Silva
7 A. Pozo
8 D. Drachal
19 A. Cantero
20 Miki Villar
55 T. Hirosawa
86 B. Mazurek
26 D. Rallis

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Nieciecza

3-4-3
99 M. Mleczko G
29 G. Isik D
2 B. Kopacz D
3 A. Kasperkiewicz D
21 D. Hilbrycht M
13 K. Kubica M
28 M. Ambrosiewicz M
6 M. Wolski M
86 I. Strzalek F
25 K. Zapolnik F
7 M. Fassbender F
Bench (8)
1 A. Chovan
5 L. Masoero
27 R. Boboc
55 Thiago Dombroski
77 A. Putivtsev
17 D. Biniek
26 W. Jakubik
53 A. Trubeha

Coach: Marcin Brosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.