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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Lech Poznan

U T S T T

3–1

Full-time

Zaglebie

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 46%

62%

29%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 41%

38%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,53 xG 1,51

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 10

6 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 13

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 3. · Zaglebie 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	22	12	7	3	+15	+11.6	43
2	Jagiellonia	22	12	6	4	+14	+2.6	42
3	Lech Poznan	21	13	2	6	+20	+10.9	41
4	Pogon Szczecin	22	12	3	7	+13	+9.1	39
5	Legia	22	10	6	6	+12	+10.2	36
6	Cracovia	22	9	8	5	+8	-2.4	35
7	Gornik Zabrze	22	10	4	8	+3	+3.1	34
8	GKS Katowice	21	8	6	7	+4	+0.9	30
9	Piast Gliwice	22	7	9	6	+3	-1.7	30
10	Motor Lublin	21	8	5	8	-7	-1.5	29
11	Korona Kielce	22	6	8	8	-9	-4.7	26
12	Widzew Lodz	22	7	5	10	-11	-3.2	26
13	Radomiak Radom	22	7	3	12	-7	-0.6	24
14	Stal Mielec	22	6	5	11	-6	+3.9	23
15	Puszcza	22	5	7	10	-10	-11.6	22
16	Zaglebie	21	6	4	11	-13	-7.1	22
17	Lechia Gdansk	22	5	6	11	-14	-15.3	21
18	Slask Wroclaw	22	2	8	12	-15	-4.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	11	9	1	1	+14	+10.1	28
2	Lech Poznan	11	9	0	2	+19	+9.3	27
3	Jagiellonia	11	7	3	1	+14	+4.4	24
4	Legia	11	7	2	2	+13	+8.2	23
5	Gornik Zabrze	11	6	2	3	+5	+5.3	20
6	Rakow	11	5	3	3	+6	+6.9	18
7	Stal Mielec	11	5	3	3	+3	+8.0	18
8	Widzew Lodz	11	5	2	4	-2	-0.6	17
9	GKS Katowice	11	4	4	3	+4	-1.8	16
10	Radomiak Radom	11	4	3	4	+4	+3.0	15
11	Piast Gliwice	11	3	6	2	+2	-0.6	15
12	Cracovia	12	3	6	3	+1	-1.7	15
13	Motor Lublin	10	4	3	3	+0	-0.3	15
14	Korona Kielce	11	4	2	5	-2	+1.7	14
15	Puszcza	10	3	4	3	-1	-2.7	13
16	Zaglebie	10	4	1	5	-3	-1.8	13
17	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	2	6	-8	-8.8	11
18	Slask Wroclaw	11	2	4	5	-3	-1.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	7	4	0	+9	+4.7	25
2	Cracovia	10	6	2	2	+7	-0.8	20
3	Jagiellonia	11	5	3	3	+0	-1.8	18
4	Piast Gliwice	11	4	3	4	+1	-1.0	15
5	Lech Poznan	10	4	2	4	+1	+1.6	14
6	GKS Katowice	10	4	2	4	+0	+2.7	14
7	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	2	5	-2	-2.1	14
8	Motor Lublin	11	4	2	5	-7	-1.2	14
9	Legia	11	3	4	4	-1	+2.0	13
10	Korona Kielce	11	2	6	3	-7	-6.4	12
11	Pogon Szczecin	11	3	2	6	-1	-1.0	11
12	Lechia Gdansk	11	2	4	5	-6	-6.6	10
13	Widzew Lodz	11	2	3	6	-9	-2.6	9
14	Puszcza	12	2	3	7	-9	-8.8	9
15	Zaglebie	11	2	3	6	-10	-5.3	9
16	Radomiak Radom	11	3	0	8	-11	-3.6	9
17	Stal Mielec	11	1	2	8	-9	-4.1	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	11	0	4	7	-12	-3.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.