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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Musial

Gornik Zabrze

S S S T S

0–0

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

43%

48%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,45 xG 0,96

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 7. · Lech Poznan 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	24	13	6	5	+20	+11.0	45
2	Slask Wroclaw	24	13	6	5	+13	+2.8	45
3	Rakow	23	11	7	5	+18	+15.4	40
4	Pogon Szczecin	23	12	4	7	+18	+11.8	40
5	Lech Poznan	23	11	7	5	+6	-3.5	40
6	Legia	23	10	8	5	+7	+9.3	38
7	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	5	8	+4	-2.8	35
8	Stal Mielec	23	9	5	9	-2	-10.4	32
9	Radomiak Radom	24	8	7	9	-7	+0.2	31
10	Zaglebie	23	8	6	9	-10	+1.8	30
11	Widzew Lodz	23	8	4	11	-4	-3.3	28
12	Cracovia	24	5	12	7	-1	-0.4	27
13	Warta Poznan	23	6	9	8	-4	-8.0	27
14	Piast Gliwice	23	4	13	6	-4	+8.4	25
15	Korona Kielce	23	4	11	8	-4	-1.8	23
16	Puszcza	23	5	8	10	-12	-15.2	23
17	Ruch Chorzow	23	2	12	9	-10	-4.2	18
18	LKS Lodz	23	3	4	16	-28	-10.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	12	9	3	0	+23	+12.1	30
2	Jagiellonia	12	9	2	1	+20	+11.1	29
3	Lech Poznan	12	7	3	2	+12	+1.3	24
4	Gornik Zabrze	11	7	2	2	+6	-2.0	23
5	Legia	12	6	4	2	+9	+10.6	22
6	Stal Mielec	11	6	3	2	+7	-1.0	21
7	Slask Wroclaw	12	6	3	3	+7	+7.3	21
8	Zaglebie	12	5	4	3	+0	+0.2	19
9	Puszcza	12	4	6	2	+0	-4.5	18
10	Widzew Lodz	11	6	0	5	-1	+4.2	18
11	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	2	4	+5	+12.7	17
12	Korona Kielce	11	3	6	2	+3	+6.3	15
13	Cracovia	12	3	5	4	+1	+1.1	14
14	Piast Gliwice	11	3	5	3	+1	+8.7	14
15	Radomiak Radom	12	3	5	4	-2	+2.3	14
16	LKS Lodz	12	3	4	5	-10	-8.2	13
17	Ruch Chorzow	12	2	6	4	-2	+1.5	12
18	Warta Poznan	11	2	4	5	-4	-3.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	12	7	3	2	+6	-4.4	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	2	3	+13	-1.0	23
3	Warta Poznan	12	4	5	3	+0	-4.7	17
4	Radomiak Radom	12	5	2	5	-5	-2.1	17
5	Jagiellonia	12	4	4	4	+0	-0.1	16
6	Legia	11	4	4	3	-2	-1.2	16
7	Lech Poznan	11	4	4	3	-6	-4.8	16
8	Cracovia	12	2	7	3	-2	-1.5	13
9	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	3	6	-2	-0.8	12
10	Piast Gliwice	12	1	8	3	-5	-0.3	11
11	Stal Mielec	12	3	2	7	-9	-9.4	11
12	Zaglebie	11	3	2	6	-10	+1.7	11
13	Widzew Lodz	12	2	4	6	-3	-7.5	10
14	Rakow	11	2	4	5	-5	+3.3	10
15	Korona Kielce	12	1	5	6	-7	-8.1	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	11	0	6	5	-8	-5.8	6
17	Puszcza	11	1	2	8	-12	-10.7	5
18	LKS Lodz	11	0	0	11	-18	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.