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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
Lech Poznan
S T U S S
0–0
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 55%
52%
57%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,00 xG 0,45
60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lech Poznan 4. · Slask Wroclaw 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 22 12 6 4 +19 +8.9 42
2 Slask Wroclaw 21 12 5 4 +14 +3.8 41
3 Pogon Szczecin 22 12 3 7 +18 +12.8 39
4 Lech Poznan 21 11 6 4 +10 -3.1 39
5 Legia 21 10 6 5 +7 +9.4 36
6 Rakow 20 10 5 5 +14 +13.8 35
7 Gornik Zabrze 21 9 5 7 +5 -2.1 32
8 Stal Mielec 20 8 4 8 -2 -7.2 28
9 Cracovia 22 5 11 6 +0 -0.5 26
10 Zaglebie 21 7 5 9 -11 +0.6 26
11 Piast Gliwice 21 4 13 4 +0 +10.5 25
12 Widzew Lodz 21 7 4 10 -5 -2.4 25
13 Radomiak Radom 21 6 6 9 -9 -1.5 24
14 Warta Poznan 21 5 8 8 -5 -7.3 23
15 Korona Kielce 20 4 9 7 -3 -3.5 21
16 Puszcza 20 5 6 9 -11 -13.6 21
17 Ruch Chorzow 22 1 12 9 -13 -7.2 15
18 LKS Lodz 21 2 4 15 -28 -11.4 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lech Poznan Slask Wroclaw
Filip Szymczak ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
38′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Peter Pokorný
A. Ba Loua 🔁
↦ A. Gholizadeh
75′
D. Hotić 🔁
↦ N. Kvekveskiri
75′
75′
🔁 P. Klimala
↦ Erik Expósito
82′
🔁 S. Petrov
↦ Y. Matsenko
86′
🟨 Petr Schwarz
92′
🟨 Patryk Szwedzik
92′
🔁 P. Szwedzik
↦ P. Samiec-Talar
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 Joel Pereira D
18 B. Salamon D
16 A. Milić D
15 M. Gurgul D
8 A. Gholizadeh M
6 J. Karlström M
30 N. Kvekveskiri M
11 K. Velde M
10 F. Marchwiński F
17 F. Szymczak F
Bench (8)
50 A. Ba Loua
21 D. Hotić
5 E. Andersson
3 B. Douglas
35 F. Bednarek
23 M. Blažič
44 A. Czerwiński
19 M. Dziuba

Coach: M. Rumak

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
33 Y. Matsenko
4 Ł. Bejger D
5 A. Petkov D
19 P. Janasik D
16 P. Pokorný M
24 P. Samiec-Talar M
8 P. Olsen M
17 P. Schwarz M
10 Nahuel Leiva M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
11 P. Klimala
87 S. Petrov
21 P. Szwedzik
26 B. İnce
35 K. Trelowski
23 D. Łukasik
20 A. Mustafić
28 M. Rzuchowski
2 A. Paluszek

Coach: J. Magiera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Lasyk · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.