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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Gornik Zabrze

U S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 48%

41%

55%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

45%

82%

Both score Ø 64%

55%

73%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,10 xG 1,32

33% Possession 67%

12 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 7. · Jagiellonia 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	22	12	6	4	+19	+8.9	42
2	Slask Wroclaw	22	12	6	4	+14	+3.3	42
3	Lech Poznan	22	11	7	4	+10	-2.6	40
4	Pogon Szczecin	22	12	3	7	+18	+12.8	39
5	Legia	22	10	7	5	+7	+8.3	37
6	Rakow	21	10	6	5	+14	+14.6	36
7	Gornik Zabrze	22	9	5	8	+3	-2.6	32
8	Stal Mielec	22	9	5	8	-1	-8.0	32
9	Widzew Lodz	22	8	4	10	-3	-1.9	28
10	Warta Poznan	23	6	9	8	-4	-8.0	27
11	Zaglebie	22	7	6	9	-11	+1.9	27
12	Cracovia	23	5	11	7	-1	+0.2	26
13	Piast Gliwice	22	4	13	5	-3	+7.5	25
14	Radomiak Radom	22	6	7	9	-9	-1.4	25
15	Korona Kielce	21	4	10	7	-3	-2.5	22
16	Puszcza	21	5	7	9	-11	-14.9	22
17	Ruch Chorzow	23	2	12	9	-10	-4.2	18
18	LKS Lodz	22	2	4	16	-29	-11.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	8	3	0	+19	+11.2	27
2	Jagiellonia	11	8	2	1	+18	+9.2	26
3	Lech Poznan	12	7	3	2	+12	+1.3	24
4	Legia	11	6	3	2	+9	+9.6	21
5	Stal Mielec	11	6	3	2	+7	-1.0	21
6	Gornik Zabrze	10	6	2	2	+5	-1.8	20
7	Slask Wroclaw	11	5	3	3	+6	+5.9	18
8	Widzew Lodz	11	6	0	5	-1	+4.2	18
9	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	2	4	+5	+12.7	17
10	Puszcza	11	4	5	2	+0	-4.7	17
11	Zaglebie	11	4	4	3	-1	+0.2	16
12	Korona Kielce	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.7	14
13	Piast Gliwice	10	3	5	2	+2	+7.8	14
14	Cracovia	12	3	5	4	+1	+1.1	14
15	Ruch Chorzow	12	2	6	4	-2	+1.5	12
16	Radomiak Radom	11	2	5	4	-3	-0.1	11
17	Warta Poznan	11	2	4	5	-4	-3.3	10
18	LKS Lodz	11	2	4	5	-11	-8.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	11	7	3	1	+8	-2.6	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	1	3	+13	+0.0	22
3	Warta Poznan	12	4	5	3	+0	-4.7	17
4	Jagiellonia	11	4	4	3	+1	-0.3	16
5	Legia	11	4	4	3	-2	-1.2	16
6	Lech Poznan	10	4	4	2	-2	-3.8	16
7	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-6	-1.3	14
8	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	3	6	-2	-0.8	12
9	Cracovia	11	2	6	3	-2	-0.9	12
10	Piast Gliwice	12	1	8	3	-5	-0.3	11
11	Stal Mielec	11	3	2	6	-8	-7.0	11
12	Zaglebie	11	3	2	6	-10	+1.7	11
13	Widzew Lodz	11	2	4	5	-2	-6.1	10
14	Rakow	10	2	3	5	-5	+3.4	9
15	Korona Kielce	11	1	5	5	-6	-8.2	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	11	0	6	5	-8	-5.8	6
17	Puszcza	10	1	2	7	-11	-10.2	5
18	LKS Lodz	11	0	0	11	-18	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.