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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Lech Poznan

S T U S U

0–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

45%

31%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%

15 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 4. · Gornik Zabrze 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	30	22	5	3	+41	71
2	Legia	30	17	9	4	+16	60
3	Pogon Szczecin	30	14	9	7	+6	51
4	Lech Poznan	29	13	10	6	+13	49
5	Warta Poznan	30	12	8	10	+6	44
6	Piast Gliwice	30	12	7	11	+4	43
7	Cracovia	29	11	8	10	+7	41
8	Jagiellonia	30	9	12	9	+5	39
9	Stal Mielec	30	10	8	12	-3	38
10	Widzew Lodz	30	10	8	12	-4	38
11	Radomiak Radom	30	10	8	12	-5	38
12	Wisla Plock	30	10	6	14	-3	36
13	Gornik Zabrze	29	9	8	12	-3	35
14	Korona Kielce	30	9	8	13	-9	35
15	Zaglebie	30	9	8	13	-14	35
16	Slask Wroclaw	30	7	10	13	-15	31
17	Lechia Gdansk	30	7	5	18	-24	26
18	Legnica	29	4	9	16	-18	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	14	1	0	+33	43
2	Legia	15	10	5	0	+15	35
3	Wisla Plock	15	8	3	4	+8	27
4	Jagiellonia	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Cracovia	14	7	4	3	+11	25
6	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Korona Kielce	15	7	3	5	+2	24
8	Lech Poznan	14	7	2	5	+6	23
9	Warta Poznan	15	5	6	4	+4	21
10	Stal Mielec	15	5	6	4	+3	21
11	Piast Gliwice	15	5	4	6	+1	19
12	Widzew Lodz	15	5	3	7	-2	18
13	Slask Wroclaw	15	4	6	5	-4	18
14	Gornik Zabrze	15	4	5	6	-3	17
15	Radomiak Radom	15	4	4	7	-4	16
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	4	4	7	-6	16
17	Legnica	15	3	6	6	-6	15
18	Zaglebie	16	3	5	8	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	8	4	3	+8	28
2	Lech Poznan	15	6	8	1	+7	26
3	Pogon Szczecin	16	7	5	4	+2	26
4	Legia	15	7	4	4	+1	25
5	Piast Gliwice	15	7	3	5	+3	24
6	Warta Poznan	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Radomiak Radom	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Zaglebie	14	6	3	5	-5	21
9	Widzew Lodz	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Stal Mielec	15	5	2	8	-6	17
12	Cracovia	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Jagiellonia	15	1	10	4	-3	13
14	Slask Wroclaw	15	3	4	8	-11	13
15	Korona Kielce	15	2	5	8	-11	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	3	1	11	-18	10
17	Wisla Plock	15	2	3	10	-11	9
18	Legnica	14	1	3	10	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.