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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Gornik Zabrze

S T U S S

3–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 31%

40%

21%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

40%

32%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 7. · Korona Kielce 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	21	12	5	4	+19	+8.8	41
2	Slask Wroclaw	21	12	5	4	+14	+3.8	41
3	Lech Poznan	21	11	6	4	+10	-3.1	39
4	Pogon Szczecin	21	11	3	7	+16	+11.8	36
5	Legia	21	10	6	5	+7	+9.4	36
6	Rakow	20	10	5	5	+14	+13.8	35
7	Gornik Zabrze	20	8	5	7	+3	-2.1	29
8	Stal Mielec	20	8	4	8	-2	-7.2	28
9	Zaglebie	21	7	5	9	-11	+0.6	26
10	Cracovia	21	5	10	6	+0	-0.5	25
11	Widzew Lodz	21	7	4	10	-5	-2.4	25
12	Piast Gliwice	20	4	12	4	+0	+10.5	24
13	Radomiak Radom	21	6	6	9	-9	-1.5	24
14	Warta Poznan	21	5	8	8	-5	-7.3	23
15	Korona Kielce	19	4	9	6	-1	-3.5	21
16	Puszcza	20	5	6	9	-11	-13.6	21
17	Ruch Chorzow	21	1	11	9	-13	-7.1	14
18	LKS Lodz	20	2	4	14	-26	-10.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	8	3	0	+19	+11.2	27
2	Jagiellonia	10	8	1	1	+18	+9.1	25
3	Lech Poznan	11	7	2	2	+12	+0.7	23
4	Legia	11	6	3	2	+9	+9.6	21
5	Slask Wroclaw	11	5	3	3	+6	+5.9	18
6	Stal Mielec	9	5	2	2	+6	-0.2	17
7	Gornik Zabrze	9	5	2	2	+3	-1.8	17
8	Puszcza	10	4	4	2	+0	-3.4	16
9	Zaglebie	11	4	4	3	-1	+0.2	16
10	Widzew Lodz	10	5	0	5	-3	+3.7	15
11	Pogon Szczecin	10	4	2	4	+3	+11.8	14
12	Cracovia	11	3	5	3	+2	+0.4	14
13	Korona Kielce	9	3	4	2	+3	+4.7	13
14	Piast Gliwice	9	3	4	2	+2	+7.9	13
15	Radomiak Radom	11	2	5	4	-3	-0.1	11
16	LKS Lodz	11	2	4	5	-11	-8.7	10
17	Warta Poznan	10	2	3	5	-4	-3.2	9
18	Ruch Chorzow	11	1	6	4	-5	-1.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	10	7	2	1	+8	-2.1	23
2	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	1	3	+13	+0.0	22
3	Jagiellonia	11	4	4	3	+1	-0.3	16
4	Lech Poznan	10	4	4	2	-2	-3.8	16
5	Legia	10	4	3	3	-2	-0.2	15
6	Warta Poznan	11	3	5	3	-1	-4.1	14
7	Radomiak Radom	10	4	1	5	-6	-1.4	13
8	Gornik Zabrze	11	3	3	5	+0	-0.3	12
9	Piast Gliwice	11	1	8	2	-2	+2.7	11
10	Cracovia	10	2	5	3	-2	-0.9	11
11	Stal Mielec	11	3	2	6	-8	-7.0	11
12	Widzew Lodz	11	2	4	5	-2	-6.1	10
13	Zaglebie	10	3	1	6	-10	+0.4	10
14	Korona Kielce	10	1	5	4	-4	-8.2	8
15	Rakow	9	2	2	5	-5	+2.6	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	10	0	5	5	-8	-5.6	5
17	Puszcza	10	1	2	7	-11	-10.2	5
18	LKS Lodz	9	0	0	9	-15	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.