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Super League

Referee: F San

St. Gallen

T T U S T

2–3

Full-time

Lugano

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 46%

46%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

69%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,12 xG 2,02

31% Possession 69%

8 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 5. · Lugano 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	26	15	6	5	+27	+1.6	51
2	Servette	26	14	8	4	+16	+16.9	50
3	Zurich	27	11	9	7	+10	+2.1	42
4	Lugano	26	12	4	10	+7	+5.2	40
5	St. Gallen	26	12	4	10	+5	+12.5	40
6	Winterthur	27	11	7	9	-2	-4.4	40
7	Luzern	26	11	4	11	-3	+2.2	37
8	Yverdon	27	9	6	12	-18	-14.8	33
9	Basel	26	9	4	13	-7	-3.9	31
10	Grasshoppers	27	8	5	14	-3	-7.1	29
11	Lausanne	26	7	8	11	-5	+3.6	29
12	Lausanne Ouchy	26	3	7	16	-27	-13.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	10	2	1	+24	+4.3	32
2	St. Gallen	13	10	1	2	+13	+7.9	31
3	Servette	13	8	4	1	+13	+9.2	28
4	Winterthur	14	8	3	3	+4	+1.4	27
5	Yverdon	14	8	3	3	+2	-5.2	27
6	Zurich	13	7	5	1	+9	+1.3	26
7	Luzern	13	8	1	4	+5	+3.5	25
8	Lugano	13	6	3	4	+4	+4.9	21
9	Grasshoppers	13	6	2	5	+7	-1.0	20
10	Lausanne	13	5	4	4	+4	+2.3	19
11	Basel	13	5	2	6	+0	-3.1	17
12	Lausanne Ouchy	13	1	6	6	-15	-4.5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	13	6	4	3	+3	+7.8	22
2	Lugano	13	6	1	6	+3	+0.3	19
3	Young Boys	13	5	4	4	+3	-2.7	19
4	Zurich	14	4	4	6	+1	+0.7	16
5	Basel	13	4	2	7	-7	-0.8	14
6	Winterthur	13	3	4	6	-6	-5.9	13
7	Luzern	13	3	3	7	-8	-1.3	12
8	Lausanne	13	2	4	7	-9	+1.3	10
9	St. Gallen	13	2	3	8	-8	+4.6	9
10	Grasshoppers	14	2	3	9	-10	-6.1	9
11	Lausanne Ouchy	13	2	1	10	-12	-9.4	7
12	Yverdon	13	1	3	9	-20	-9.6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.