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Ligue 2

Referee: M Leleu

Concarneau

S S U T U

2–3

Full-time

Guingamp

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Concarneau Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 37%

37%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

8 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Concarneau 15. · Guingamp 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	28	14	10	4	+24	52
2	Angers	27	15	4	8	+12	49
3	St Etienne	28	13	6	9	+9	45
4	Laval	27	12	9	6	+5	45
5	Caen	27	12	6	9	+4	42
6	Grenoble	27	10	10	7	+7	40
7	Rodez	27	10	9	8	+5	39
8	Ajaccio	27	10	8	9	-1	38
9	Amiens	27	9	11	7	-3	38
10	Pau FC	27	9	10	8	-1	37
11	Bordeaux	27	10	7	10	-3	37
12	Guingamp	27	9	9	9	+2	36
13	Paris FC	27	9	9	9	+1	36
14	Bastia	27	9	7	11	-2	34
15	Concarneau	27	9	6	12	-7	33
16	Troyes	27	7	10	10	-5	31
17	Dunkerque	27	8	7	12	-13	31
18	Quevilly Rouen	27	5	11	11	-3	26
19	Annecy	27	5	9	13	-11	24
20	Valenciennes	27	2	10	15	-20	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	14	11	2	1	+16	35
2	Ajaccio	13	8	5	0	+13	29
3	Auxerre	14	7	5	2	+13	26
4	Caen	13	7	3	3	+9	24
5	St Etienne	15	7	3	5	+7	24
6	Bordeaux	13	7	3	3	+6	24
7	Bastia	14	7	3	4	+2	24
8	Rodez	13	6	5	2	+8	23
9	Grenoble	13	6	5	2	+7	23
10	Amiens	14	5	7	2	+3	22
11	Troyes	13	6	2	5	+3	20
12	Pau FC	14	5	5	4	+2	20
13	Laval	14	5	5	4	-3	20
14	Paris FC	14	5	4	5	+3	19
15	Guingamp	13	4	5	4	+3	17
16	Concarneau	13	4	3	6	-6	15
17	Annecy	14	2	6	6	-7	12
18	Dunkerque	14	3	3	8	-11	12
19	Quevilly Rouen	13	2	5	6	-3	11
20	Valenciennes	13	1	5	7	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	14	7	5	2	+11	26
2	Laval	13	7	4	2	+8	25
3	St Etienne	13	6	3	4	+2	21
4	Guingamp	14	5	4	5	-1	19
5	Dunkerque	13	5	4	4	-2	19
6	Concarneau	14	5	3	6	-1	18
7	Caen	14	5	3	6	-5	18
8	Grenoble	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	Paris FC	13	4	5	4	-2	17
10	Pau FC	13	4	5	4	-3	17
11	Rodez	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Amiens	13	4	4	5	-6	16
13	Quevilly Rouen	14	3	6	5	+0	15
14	Angers	13	4	2	7	-4	14
15	Bordeaux	14	3	4	7	-9	13
16	Annecy	13	3	3	7	-4	12
17	Troyes	14	1	8	5	-8	11
18	Bastia	13	2	4	7	-4	10
19	Ajaccio	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Valenciennes	14	1	5	8	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.