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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
RWD Molenbeek
T U T T U
0–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 22/18 matches
Win Ø 43%
18%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
73%
72%
Both score Ø 76%
68%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,1
2,2
Conceded
2,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,86 xG 2,48
31% Possession 69%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RWD Molenbeek 13. · Anderlecht 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 19 16 2 1 +27 +22.1 50
2 Anderlecht 18 12 5 1 +20 +12.2 41
3 Cercle Brugge 19 13 2 4 +18 +10.7 41
4 Club Brugge 18 11 4 3 +31 +31.9 37
5 Antwerp 20 10 7 3 +28 +20.4 37
6 Mechelen 20 9 5 6 +5 -0.3 32
7 Genk 17 8 6 3 +19 +22.5 30
8 Gent 17 7 6 4 +7 +8.4 27
9 Westerlo 19 5 5 9 -6 -7.2 20
10 Standard 18 4 7 7 -8 -10.3 19
11 Charleroi 23 4 7 12 -17 -13.4 19
12 St Truiden 18 4 6 8 -16 -10.9 18
13 RWD Molenbeek 22 4 6 12 -28 -29.0 18
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 3 6 10 -12 -6.4 15
15 Kortrijk 23 3 4 16 -35 -23.4 13
16 Eupen 22 3 2 17 -33 -27.3 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RWD Molenbeek Anderlecht
10′
J. Vertonghen 0–1
M. Stroeykens
18′
A. Dreyer 0–2
S. Abe 🔁
↦ T. Adaramola
28′
David Sousa 🟨
30′
31′
K. Dolberg 0–3
Half-time 0–3
50′
🟨 Thorgan Hazard
64′
🔁 L. Vázquez
↦ A. Dreyer
64′
🔁 T. Delaney
↦ M. Stroeykens
M. Segovia 🔁
↦ Carlos Alberto
69′
69′
🔁 K. Arnstad
↦ Y. Verschaeren
Abner 🔁
↦ M. Sambu
74′
82′
🔁 F. Gattoni
↦ Z. Debast
Shuto Abe 🟨
85′
Makhtar Gueye 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

RWD Molenbeek

3-4-2-1
33 T. Defourny G
21 M. Sambu D
34 C. Makosso D
43 David Sousa D
17 I. Camara M
6 P. Dwomoh M
77 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
11 T. Adaramola M
7 M. Biron F
89 Carlos Alberto F
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (9)
8 S. Abe
80 M. Segovia
26 Abner
30 X. Mercier
22 F. Soelle Soelle
32 D. Doudaev
10 M. Ebiowei
28 G. Hubert
47 P. Mboup

Coach: B. Irles

Anderlecht

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
54 K. Sardella D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
15 L. Augustinsson D
10 Y. Verschaeren M
17 T. Leoni M
29 M. Stroeykens M
36 A. Dreyer F
12 K. Dolberg F
11 T. Hazard F
Bench (9)
20 L. Vázquez
25 T. Delaney
61 K. Arnstad
33 F. Gattoni
83 T. De Greef
26 C. Coosemans
22 L. Patris
32 N. Angulo
23 M. Rits

Coach: B. Riemer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,80
U
4,32
B ✓
1,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.